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TD Scorer Prop of the Week (Buy)
Stefon Diggs to Score a TD (YES) (-105)
Diggs leads the NFL in touchdowns for wide receivers thus far. That might not be a surprise to some of us but what might be is that Stefon Diggs is in the top five of six major wide receiver stat categories. Diggs has been dominant this season and Josh Allen continues to look his way. Buffalo has some injuries with their pass catchers which can only mean a higher volume for Diggs. Baltimore has allowed a league worst 353 passing yards per game. They are by far the worst passing defense in the league right now. Miami who has played four games to the Ravens' three games are still at less than 300 passing yards allowed per game through the air. Miami, with four games, is second to last vs. Baltimore, with three games, is last. If that is not enough, the Ravens pass defense have allowed Mac Jones, Joe Flacco, Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater to throw for a total of 1,060 yards in just three games. The total on this game is set at 51 so points will be scored and Diggs will find himself some paydirt against the Ravens.
Sheep Prop Of The Week (Fade)
Jonathan Taylor OVER 114.5 Rush+Rec Yds (NO) (-115)
Taylor is very good, but this is a play that the public will be all over. They will focus on the Colts playing at home and the Titans not being a very good team. The Colts can win this game by margin and that would obviously help Taylor, but this game is lined at Colts -3.5. The Titans are the one team that have had success playing against Taylor. Last season Taylor racked up just 72 Rush+Rec yards in first meeting and 124 combined yards in the second meeting last year. The Titans know that they need to stop Taylor and make Matt Ryan beat them. The Titans rush defense hasn’t been good this year as they are the fourth worst in the league, but I believe they know the task at hand. Look for the Titans to load the box against Taylor. We want to avoid playing Taylor's over rushing and receiving this week.