(NEW) Giovani Bernard - Over 9.5 carries (DraftKings -139): It's not often that you see a "starting" NFL running back projected for less than 10 carries in a game, but here we are. Look, I get it, Bernard profiles as more of a pass-catching back than anything else and we really don't want to test that Pittsburgh front four and their run defense all too much. But let's look at the basic math and numbers here. Bernard has 15 and 13 carries over the last two weeks while filling in for the injured Mixon, and that's even with Samaje Perine cutting into his overall touches. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, hasn't been playing up to their elite defensive form as of late, evidenced by allowing 27 running back carries to Ezekiel Elliott (18 carries) and Tony Pollard in Week 9. Dobbins (15 carries), Edwards (16), Henry (20), Hunt (13), Sanders (11), D. Johnson (13), Gordon (19) and Barkley (15) were all lead backs, some in committees, who all saw double digit carries. Extra wind in Pittsburgh makes me like this even more. I believe this line is wrong.