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By Chris Dell
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Staff Note: The player prop lines and bets listed below were available at the time they were given out to our NFL In-Season Package subscribers on our Betting Predators Private Discord Channel. In order to get an alert the moment after Chris places one of his prop bets and get the best line available, we highly recommend signing up for our in-season package, which gives you access to Chris' best bet player props + DFS top plays for every primetime game AND every Sunday main slate. You'll also get access to our subscriber-only Discord, as well as our Betting Predators' NFL Power Ratings and much more. Lastly, you'll notice that a lot of Chris' best bet player props also strongly correlate with his weekly fantasy football rankings, which you can find here. Any questions? Message Chris any time on Twitter @MaddJournalist
Player Prop Bets I Made For Week 4
*win/loss units is based on betting to win 1 unit on each favored prop and risking 1 on each underdog prop
Drake London OVER 50.5 Rec Yards @ PointsBet -125 Buy price 53.5 One Unit
Every game this season rookie wide receiver Drake London has topped 53.5 yards receiving. Also playing in the third highest predicted total game of the week at around 47 points the odds makes know this will be a shootout. Cleveland ranks in the bottom half in secondary coverage per Pro Football Focus and could be without both Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney for this matchup, hopefully giving a weak Falcons offensive line more time to block for Marcus Mariota.
Josh Reynolds OVER 49.5 Rec Yards @ Bet365 -110 Buy Price 50.5 One Unit
With the news of DJ Chark being ruled out on Saturday and Amon-Ra St. Brown ruled out earlier this week means Josh Reynolds is wide receiver one for the Detroit Lions this Sunday. Since rejoining his former Rams teammate Jared Goff in Detroit, Reynolds has had over 50.5 receiving yards five of the nine games he has played for Detroit, none of those games was Reynolds the wide receiver one of that game. Now that Josh Reynolds will be the number one target this Sunday against a Seahawks secondary ranked 31st by Pro Football Focus, Reynolds and Goff should eclipse 50 yards before half time.
Josh Jacobs UNDER 70.5 Rushing Yards @ Pointsbet -125 One Unit Buy Price 69.5
Josh Jacobs UNDER 88.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards @ mgm -110
In two of the three games this season Denver has not given up either of these yard amounts to a running back. Week three Jeff Wilson Jr of the 49ers did hit both overs but only rushed for 75 yards and hit the over on for Rush/Rec yards with three catches in the fourth quarter the last two were in positive game script for receivers and Denver let Wilson Jr catch them under a prevent defense.
Josh Jacobs on the other hand hasn't hit over 70 yards rushing all season. He did hit over 88.5 yards rushing last week, on the last drive of the game once again with the defense in a prevent scheme. This Offense will be looking to jump start Davante Adams and once again and could give Josh Jacobs less carried especially if Las Vegas is playing from behind.
Leonard Fournette UNDER 64.5 Rushing yards @ Bet365 -110. wouldn't play lower than this number
Leonard Fournette UNDER 95.5 rushing + receiving yards @ mgm -115. Buy Price 94.5
It's safe to say Leonard Fournette has been some what of a disappointment this season. Since rushing for 127 yards against the Cowboy's Sunday night of week one, Fournette has gone under on his rushing and receiving/rushing total two weeks in a row. Tampa Bay host Kansas City this week, The Chiefs come into this contest after being embarrassed by losing to the Colts in Week three. Our cheat sheet has the Chiefs with an advantage in run defense/run blocking. Kansas City has faced running backs James Conner, Austin Ekeler, and Jonathan Taylor. None of these running backs hit to the over in their rushing yards or receiving/rushing yards prop this season against the Chiefs.
Aaron Jones OVER 11.5 Rushing Attempts @ Pointsbet -130. Buy Price = 12.5 at plus money only
AJ Dillon OVER 12.5 Rushing Attempts @ bet365 -115. wouldn't play higher than this number.
Its know secrets that the Green Bay Packers are a run first offense. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillion are averaging 12 rushing attempts per game between the two of them. The Patriots enter this contest with a back up quarterback, without their number one wide receiver, and missing many more starters. Green Bay offensive linemen David Bakhtiari looks to return to the lineup fulltime after playing only 35 snaps last week in his return. The Packers should jump out to a sizable lead early and control the game on the ground. Odd makers have the Packers as high as a 10 point favorite. One of these guy is going to hit their rushing attempts total for sure and odds are in a blowout both will.
Najee Harris UNDER 90.5 Rush + Rec Yards @ DK -115. Buy Price 89.5
Najee Harris UNDER 66.5 Rush Yards @ bet365 -110. Buy Price 65.5
Najee Harris has yet to rush over 60 yards this season. Could be due to Harris playing with a lisfranc injury that had him out for a majority of the preseason. Harris has been running behind one of the lowest ranked offensive lines in the league and will struggle again this
Javonte Williams OVER 48.5 Rushing Yards @ foxbet -120. Buy Price = 55.5
Javonte Williams OVER 13.5 Yards Longest Rush @ dk -105. Half Unit
Yes we know Javonte Williams is in a running back committee in Denver, but these numbers are just to good to pass up. Williams has hit the over in rushing yards the past two weeks and has had a longest run of 13, 17, 16 the last three weeks. The Raiders defense has given up a longest run of 30 and 24 the last two weeks. Don't worry about the split carries, Javonte has found a way of hitting at least one of these bets each week this season.
Cam Akers UNDER 54.5 Rush + Rec yds @ Caesars -113. Buy Price 49.5
Cam Akers UNDER 44.5 rushing yards @ Wynbett-115. Buy price 39.5
Although Cam Akers has been showing steady improvement as the weeks have gone on this rivalry matchup between the Rams and 49ers should a a defensive battle. Cam has had a problem holding onto the football this season and other than the second half of last week's match up against the Cardinals, Darrell Henderson has been splitting carries with Akers. The Rams offensive line is still pretty new and learning on the fly after losing a couple of offensive linemen so far this season and the 49ers have done a great job stopping the run. Establish The Run has this OL vs DL matchup as a big mismatch ranking San Francisco #1 at defensive line and Los Angeles #18.
Jamaal Williams Anytime TD -130 @ DraftKings Half Unit
Dk Metcalf OVER 60.5 Rec Yards @ Caesars -117. Buy Price = 62.5 Half Unit
Tyler Lockett OVER 63.5 Rec Yards @ DraftKings -115. Buy Price = 65.5 Half Unit
Carson Wentz UNDER 231.5 Passing Yards @ DraftKings -115 Buy Price 229.5 Half Unit
Saquon Barkley OVER 3.5 Receptions @ Barstool -143 Half Unit
Richie James OVER 3.5 Receptions @ Bet365 -150 Half Unit
Stefon Diggs Longest Reception OVER 25.5 yards @ fanduel -114. buy price 26.5 Half Unit
Khalil Herbert OVER 74.5 Rushing Yards @ Caesars -104. Half Unit. would play up to 75.5
Tony Pollard OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards @ Foxbet -120. Half Unit buy price 42.5
DeVonta Smith OVER 55.5 Receiving Yards @ bet365 -110 Half Unit Buy Price = 58.5
Diontae Johnson OVER 5.5 Receptions @ Pointsbet -120 Half Unit
Amari Cooper OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards @ Fanduel -113 Half Unit Buy Price 65.5
Michael Pittman OVER 5.5 Receptions @bet365 -135 Half Unit