WORLD CUP 2022: BETTING BREAKDOWN
Resource: FIFA World Rankings (Last updated on October 6th, 2022)
GROUP POWER RANKINGS
Group Mean Avg = 21.9375
- Group B = 15 (“group of death 1A”) -> England, USA, Wales, Iran
- Group E = 18.25 (“group of death 1B”) -> Spain, Germany, Japan, Costa Rica
- Group G = 20 0 -> Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Cameroon
- Group F = 20.5 -> Belgium, Croatia, Morocco, Canada
- Group D = 20.5 -> France, Denmark, Tunisia, Australia
- Group C = 23.25 -> Argentina, Mexico, Poland, Saudi Arabia
- Group H = 28 -> Portugal, Uruguay, South Korea, Ghana
- Group A = 30 -> Netherlands, Senegal, Ecuador, Qatar
WORST TEAMS IN FIELD
World ranking = 24th or worse
Japan #24 (E)
Poland #26 (C)
South Korea #28 (H)
Tunisia #30 (D)
Costa Rica #31 (E)
Australia #38 (D)
Canada #41
Cameroon #43
Ecuador #44 (A)
Qatar #50 (A)
Saudi Arabia #51 (C)
Ghana #61 (H)
Biggest World Rating "Net Average" Advantages for #1 Seeds
“To Win Group” odds listed below from DraftKings Sportsbook
(-280) Netherlands +29.3 -> Senegal/Ecuador/Qatar (A)
(-250) Argentina +27 -> Mexico/Poland/Saudi Arabia (C)
(-300) Brazil +25.3 -> Switzerland/Serbia/Cameroon (G)
(-145) Portugal +25.3 -> Uruguay/South Korea/Ghana (H)
(-190) Belgium +23 -> Croatia/Morocco/Canada (F)
(-225) France +22 -> Denmark/Tunisia/Australia (D)
(-115) Spain +15 -> Germany/Japan/Costa Rica (E)
(-280) England +13.7 -> USA/Wales/Iran (B)
Biggest World Rating "Net Average" Advantages for #2 Seeds
"To Qualify From Group” odds listed below from DraftKings Sportsbook
(-220) Uruguay +30.5 -> Ghana/South Korea (H)
(-110) Senegal +29 -> Ecuador/Qatar (A)
(-120) Mexico +25.5 -> Poland/Saudi Arabia (C)
(-280) Denmark +24 -> Tunisia/Australia (D)
(-200) Croatia +19.5 -> Morocco/Canada (F)
(+100) Switzerland +17 -> Serbia/Cameroon (G)
(-650) Germany +16.5 -> Japan/Costa Rica (E)
(-105) USA +3.5 -> Wales/Iran (B)
Biggest "NET RATING" Ranking Differential For “Matchday 1 of 3”:
- +52 Portugal (-255) vs Ghana = H
- +48 Argentina (-600) vs Saudi Arabia = C
- +39 Belgium (-215) vs Canada = F
- +34 France (-400) vs Australia = D
- +28 Switzerland (-140) vs Cameroon = G
- +24 Spain (-600) vs Costa Rica = E
- +20 Brazil (-235) vs Serbia = G
- +20 Denmark (-225) vs Tunisia = D
- +15 England (-275) vs. Iran = B
- +14 Uruguay (-130) vs South Korea = H
- +13 Mexico (+170) vs. Poland = C
- +13 Germany (-205) vs Japan = E
- +10 Netherlands (-165) vs. Senegal (+475) = A
- +10 Croatia (+100) vs Morocco (+400) = F
- +6 Ecuador (+135) + Qatar (+230) = A
- +3 USA (+165) vs. Wales (+195); Draw (+195) = B
Biggest "NET RATING" Ranking Differential For “Matchday 2 of 3”:
- +42 Netherlands (-180) vs Ecuador = A
- +33 South Korea (+165) vs Ghana = H
- +32 Senegal (+105) vs Qatar = A
- +29 Croatia (-135) vs Canada = F
- +25 Poland (-165) vs Saudi Arabia = C
- +22 Serbia (-125) vs Cameroon = G
- +20 Belgium (-190) vs Morocco = F
- +14 Brazil (-210) vs Switzerland = G
- +11 England (-170) vs USA = B
- +10 Argentina (-195) vs Mexico = C
- +8 Tunisia (+175) vs Australia (+170) = D
- +7 Japan (-160) vs Costa Rica (+425) = E
- +6 France (+100) vs Denmark (+285) = D
- +5 Portugal (+105) vs Uruguay (+265); Draw (+230) = H
- +4 Spain (+160) vs Germany (+170); Draw (+225) = E
- +1 Wales (+135) vs Iran (+230); Draw (+200) = B
Biggest "NET RATING" Ranking Differential For “Matchday 1 of 3”:
- +47 Uruguay (-130) vs Ghana = H
- +42 Brazil (-400) vs Cameroon = G
- +42 Netherlands (-400) vs Qatar = A
- +38 Mexico (-150) vs Saudi Arabia = C
- +28 Denmark (-190) vs Australia = D
- +26 Senegal (+150) vs Ecuador = A
- +26 France (-310) vs Tunisia = D
- +23 Argentina (-155) vs Poland = C
- +20 Germany (-425) vs Costa Rica = E
- +19 Portugal (-205) vs South Korea = H
- +19 Morocco (+150) vs Canada = F
- +17 Spain (-240) vs Japan = E
- +14 England (-180) vs Wales = B
- +10 Belgium (+120) vs Croatia = F
- +6 Switzerland (+165) vs Serbia (+175) = G
- +4 USA (+100) vs Iran (+280); Draw (+230) = B
GROUP BREAKDOWNS
Resource: FIFA World Rankings (Last updated on October 6th, 2022)
GROUP A
Netherlands #8
Senegal #18
Ecuador #44
Qatar #50
AVG = 30
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +29.3 (NED vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +10 Netherlands vs. Senegal
- +6 Ecuador + Qatar
GROUP B
England #5
USA #16
Wales #19
Iran #20
AVG = 15
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +13.7 (ENG vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +15 England vs. Iran
- +3 USA vs. Wales
GROUP C
Argentina #3
Mexico #13
Poland #26
Saudi Arabia #51
AVG = 23.25
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +27 (ARG vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +48 Argentina vs Saudi Arabia
- +13 Mexico vs. Poland
GROUP D
France #4
Denmark #10
Tunisia #30
Australia #38
AVG = 20.5
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +22 (FRA vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +34 France vs Australia
- +20 Denmark vs Tunisia
GROUP E
Spain #7
Germany #11
Japan #24
Costa Rica #31
AVG = 18.25
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +15 (SPA vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +24 Spain vs Costa Rica
- +13 Germany vs Japan
GROUP F
Belgium #2
Croatia #12
Morocco #22
Canada #41
AVG = 19.25
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +23 (BEL vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +39 Belgium vs Canada
- +10 Croatia vs Morocco
GROUP G
Brazil #1
Switzerland #15
Serbia #21
Cameroon #43
AVG = 20
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +25.3 (BRA vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +20 Brazil vs Serbia
- +28 Switzerland vs Cameroon
GROUP H
Portugal #9
Uruguay #14
South Korea #28
Ghana #61
AVG = 28
NET #1 SEED PWR RTG = +25.3 (POR vs. rest of group avg)
MATCHDAY #1
- +52 Portugal vs Ghana
- +14 Uruguay vs South Korea