By Sleepy J / Donnie Dyce
Week 7 Value Stack
Tua Tagovailoa $5,500 / Jaylen Waddle $5,600
Tua got the motor running in Week 6 with a great game stat wise, piling up 328 passing yds, 2 TD's & 22 rushing yards to boot. Tua has a favorite target too, and it’s apparent that it's his old Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle. Waddle last week had 10 catches on 13 targets with 2 TD’s himself, and although this could be a stack sharp DFS bettors go to, it still could be very well low owned because it's Miami and Tua after all, and many will flock to stack players in the Titans/Chiefs game, among other matchups with higher over/under totals. We are getting both Waddle and Tua for a cheap price in a game the Dolphins need like blood. Win or lose, Tua and Waddle will look to reproduce last week’s production and will certainly see the passing volume/opportunity to help them get there once more and smash their values at the current price tags. We are just asking for reasonable volume and production in a competitive contest.
WR Value Play
DeVonta Smith $5,400
With Zach Ertz now off to Arizona it shrinks up the Eagles playbook a little bit and likely takes them away from 12-personnel sets (i.e. 2 TE sets) in the short term. The Raiders pass defense been below average this year and we haven’t seen them against a mobile QB like Hurts, which should open up some holes for the Eagles passing attack down the field. Getting Smith right now at $5,400 is a bargain, and I believe he won’t fall below $5,800/$6,000 for the rest of the season following Week 7 come Sunday. He is the Eagles' clear cut #1 WR option and should benefit from no Ertz in tow just as much as teammate Dallas Goedert will, the latter of whom will likely soak up more ownership in both cash games and GPP's.
Sneaky Defense
NY Giants $2,500
The Giants are one of the many teams on life support right now heading into Week 7. They are losing the team and fan base as the games tick by in 2021, but having said all that, they still will be at home and facing a QB in Sam Darnold who is prone to bad road games. The Giants are allowing an alarming rate of points on defense, but much of that is due to the Giants offense going 3 and out every drive in their recent two games in which they had cluster injuries offensively as well as Daniel Jones not being close to 100%. The Giants offense will be at the very least a tad healthier in Week 7 though, which should help out the defense this week in staying off the field for prolonged periods. Many pro bettors are on the under for this contest, which could help the scoring for the Giants' D/ST. Darnold gives us the possibility for added sacks and turnovers as well, and we also get an ownership discount here after NY's abysmal defensive outing against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 6. This defense isn't as bad as they showed last Sunday.