BETTING PREDATORS
  • Home
  • Tools 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
    • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
    • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
  • Premium 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
  • Strategy 
    • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
    • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
    • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
    • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
  • About 
    • Free Podcasts
    • Mission
    • Team
  • …  
    • Home
    • Tools 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
      • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
      • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
    • Premium 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • Strategy 
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
      • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
    • About 
      • Free Podcasts
      • Mission
      • Team
PREMIUM PICKS
BETTING PREDATORS
  • Home
  • Tools 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
    • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
    • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
  • Premium 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
  • Strategy 
    • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
    • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
    • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
    • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
  • About 
    • Free Podcasts
    • Mission
    • Team
  • …  
    • Home
    • Tools 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
      • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
      • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
    • Premium 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • Strategy 
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
      • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
    • About 
      • Free Podcasts
      • Mission
      • Team
PREMIUM PICKS

"Money Picks" Player Props Podcast Written Recap - Week 7 (Free Preview)

· NFL,Fantasy,Mike D'Angelo

By Mike D'Angelo

@DAngelo7M

PLEASE NOTE: This article is a FREE preview of our new NFL 2021 In-Season Package, which includes best bet player props from the Betting Predators team for every primetime game and every main Sunday slate, as well as access to our private betting Discord channel for subscribers and much more. Click here to learn more about our in-season package and how to get access to our NFL Power Ratings, DFS Strategy & Top Plays for every slate, Projected Line Movements/Lookahead Lines and information about our top player props and best bets as we make our wagers throughout the week. Any questions? Please email us at bettingpredators@gmail.com or shoot us a DM/message or comment on Twitter @BetPredators.

DISCLAIMER: Some lines may change from the time of podcast recording and publishing of this written recap before Sunday. Also, please know that that these are not official plays. I only give a very simplified version of Chris Dell and Sleepy's handicaps here below, simply because there will be stuff you may miss if you don't listen to the podcast and because we only have so much time to digest this in written form.

Be sure to listen to the Betting Predators' weekly Player Props "Money Picks" podcast every Friday and also read Chris Dell's NFL Player Props column (released Sunday morning on the website) for his official plays. In order to listen to the full audio version of this podcast, scroll to the bottom of this page or listen to it in its entirely here on Spotify. You can also subscribe to our free blog by scrolling below and entering your email address in order to receive an email alert every time we publish a new article on the website.

WAS vs GB (-7.5) - O/U 48.5

Sleepy J Likes Aaron Rodgers Ov 255 Pass Yards

Analysis:

  • Washington has worst pass defence in the league

  • Green bay if in a game script where they need to throw will torch Washington

  • Do not see a blow up here

  • Aware it is square

Chris Likes Ricky Seals-Jones Ov 40.5 Rec Yards + Ov Receptions + JD McKissic Props

Analysis:

  • Rec hit first half, Yards hit beginning of third quarter

  • GB allows production to tight ends

  • Ran routes on 93% of drop backs

Notes: Chris agrees with Sleepys pick on Rodgers. Game script should not get very out of hand.

NE vs NYJ (-6.5) - O/U 43

Sleepy J Likes Damien Harris Ov 64.5 Rush Yards

Analysis:

  • Patriots could end up getting margin

  • Could end up killing clock and handing off ball

  • Jets have not done well against pats

  • Jets have average rush defence

  • Projecting 16-18 touches

Notes: Chris leans Agholor unders this week. Chris also leans to take the dog in this spot. Targeting unders in this game overall.

CIN vs BAL (-6) - O/U 46.5

Sleepy Likes Mark Andrews Ov 59.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Going back to the well

  • 5 or more catches in last 5

  • Has gone over this total in 4 straight

  • Lamar is getting Andrews involved

Chris Likes Joe Mixon Ov 56.5 Rush Yards

Analysis:

  • Mixon has had 67+ rush yards in every game minus GB this Season

  • Had 3 out of 5 at 90+ rush yards when he was healthy

  • Projected to hit low 70s

Notes: Sleepy agrees with Chris, not sure why the line is low on Mixon.

KC vs TEN (+4.5) - O/U 57.5

Sleepy Likes Darrell Williams TD

Analysis:

  • Total on this game is insane

  • Name value (not recognised)

  • Assuming more than one chance score in and around the goal line

Chris Likes Derrick Henry Un 149.5 Rush & Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Line is inflated

  • Tennessee has a flat spot here

  • He is not really used as passer at all in TEN system in recent weeks

  • Coming off of a short week

Notes: Hardman is a great value price play at $4,300 on DK with his ceiling/potential

CAR vs NYG (+2.5) - O/U 43

Sleepy Likes Longest Field Goal for NYG

Analysis:

  • Giants are tied third in FG attempts

  • From 50+ yards kicker is 80%

  • Giants are not afraid to get kicker out there

  • Panthers are ⅓ from 50+ yards

Notes: Chris likes Sterling Shepard overs, but at the time of doing the podcast there are no numbers out. He also wants to target Robby Anderson in this spot. Sleepy was also mentioning Daniel Jones rushing prop but could not find a number anywhere.

ATL vs MIA (+2.5) - O/U 48

Sleepy Likes Tua Ov 252 pass yards + Touchdowns thrown Ov 1.5 + Completions Ov + Attempts Ov

Analysis:

  • Best game in last game

  • Does not have a lot to lose here

  • With them potentially trying to trade him, they need to showcase him

  • ATL pass defence is very poor

  • Tua also needs to show out for his own future

Chris Likes Tua Ov Pass Attempts

Analysis:

  • MIA is the most pass heavy team in the NFL even with Jacoby Brissett behind center for a while

  • Throwing at a 67% rate

  • Parker coming back, whom Tua likes in a target

  • 6th best graded (PFF) passer in week 6

Rams (-15.5) vs DET - O/U 51

Sleepy Likes Stafford Ov 288 Pass Yards

Chris Likes Stafford Completions Ov 23.5 + Attempts + Ov 2.5 Touch Downs

Analysis:

  • Rams may run up the score here

  • Want to showcase their quarterback and show why they moved on from Goff

PHI vs LV (-3) - O/U 48.5

Sleepy Likes De’Vonte Smith Ov 57.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Raiders pass defence is average

  • When Smith gets the ball they seem to do well in games

  • Hurts has not been throwing past the line of scrimmage as of late, Smith low aDOT

Notes: Chris likes Sanders under rushing and leans to Smith over receptions but no lines for the latter

HOU vs ARI (-17.5) - O/U 47.5

Sleepy Likes James Connor TD

Analysis:

  • A lot of points projected for ARI and no reason why they'd not be around end zone a lot here

  • It could take some pressure off of Kyler Murray

Chris Likes James Connor Ov Rush Yards + Ov Rush Attempts

Analysis:

  • Edmonds numbers have been trending downwards (injury)

  • Snaps down to 37%

  • Rush Att down to 11%

  • Routes down to 38%

  • Do not need to use him in a game where they are -17.5 point favorites

Notes: Look to buy low on Edmonds after this game. Also looking at Hopkins TD but juice is very high.

TB vs CHI (+11.5) - O/U 47

Chris Likes Justin Fields Un 227 Pass Yards

Analysis:

  • Subscriber pick

  • Line has moved drastically down since giving pick in Betting Predators subscriber discord

  • Young QB who has been struggling probably can not handle the pass rush/defensive line of TB

Notes: Mooney/Robinson are the only guys Chris would look at for DFS but does not like their overs

Subscribe
Previous
Chris Dell's Week 7 Player Props
Next
Sharps vs. Squares Report: NFL Week 7 Ticket/Money Counts...
 Return to site
Cancel
All Posts
×

Almost done…

We just sent you an email. Please click the link in the email to confirm your subscription!

OK

    Home
    Subscribe
    Articles
    Contact