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NFL Betting Cheat Sheet: Biggest OL/DL Pass Blocking Mismatches (Week 11)

Ben Martinez breaks down our weekly betting and player props cheat sheet to identify the top OL/DL advantages and disadvantages, for pass blocking, across the NFL:

· Chris Dell,Cheat Sheet,Ben Martinez,NFL

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TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES

Colts -25.3 vs Eagles Pass Rush

Vikings -13.7 vs Cowboys Pass Rush 

Patriots -11.3 vs Jets

Texans -10 vs Commanders Pass Rush  

Indianapolis Colts -25.3 vs Philadelphia Eagles 

Another week and the Colts offensive line finds itself at a disadvantage for another week. Indianapolis is facing one of the best defensive lines in the NFL. Philadelphia has the second best pass rushing unit according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. The Eagles are ranked third by Pro Football Focus, fourth according to ESPN pass rush win rate, and Football Outsiders ranks the Eagles pass rush fifth. The Eagles also has three players in the top 20 at pass rush win rate according to ESPN. Edge rusher Josh Sweat and Haason Reddick rank five and seven. Defensive tackle Javon Hargraves ranks fourth. Hargraves also grades as the third best DT in the NFL according to PFF while Sweat and Riddick are 10th and 11th. Colts center Ryan Kelly ranks 10th at ESPN pass block win rate.

Minnesota Vikings -13.7 vs Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys once again are the top defensive line according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Ranked #1 by both Pro Football Focus and Football Outsiders, but rank third at ESPN pass rush win rate despite having the #1 overall edge rusher Micah Parsons at PRWR. Minnesota's offensive line did the best they could against a top notch Buffalo front seven, but this week they face the best pass rush in the NFL. The Vikings rankings are scattered. Ranking as high as 10th overall by Football Outsiders and as low as 21st according to Pro Football Focus. ESPN has the Vikings 15th at pass block win rate. ESPN ranks tackle Brain O'Neill fifth at PBWR.

New England Patriots -11.3 vs New York Jets 

  • Pats pass block 13th PFF, 26th FO, 22nd ESPN
  • Jets pass rush 4th PFF, 12th FO, 11th ESPN

Houston Texans -10 vs Washington Commanders

  • Texans pass block 24th PFF, 20th FO, 25th ESPN
  • Commanders pass rush 10th PFF, 14th FO, 15th ESPN

TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES

Chiefs Pass Blocking +17.7 at Chargers

Ravens Pass Blocking +13.7 vs Panthers

Eagles Pass Blocking +12 at Colts

Steelers Pass Blocking +10.7 vs Bengals

Kansas City Chiefs +17.7 at Los Angeles Chargers

 

The Chiefs have the second best pass blocking average this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Ranking #1 at pass block win rate according to ESPN, Football Outsiders has Kansas City fourth at pass blocking, and Pro Football Focus grades the Chiefs 14th overall. ESPN also ranks Chiefs guard Joe Thuney #1 and center Creed Humphries fourth at their positions at pass block win rate. PFF also grades Thuney the #1 pass blocking guard and Humphries the third best pass blocking center in the NFL.

The Chargers are the sixth worst pass rushing team in the NFL according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Ranking as high as 21st according to Football Outsiders and as low as 28th by ESPN pass rush win rate metric. Los Angeles pass rush has been missing edge rusher Joey Bosa since week three.

Baltimore Ravens +13.7 vs Carolina Panthers

The Ravens have the third best pass blocking average according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus ranks Baltimore #1 at pass blocking while Football Outsiders have the Ravens ranked all the way down at 17. ESPN has the Ravens second overall at pass block win rate with tackle Morgan Moses and guard Kevin Zeitler ranking sixth and eighth at their position for PBWR. PFF grades tackle Ronnie Stanley first, guard Ben Powers second, and guard Kevin Zeitler fourth at their positions for pass blocking.

Carolina's pass rush is kinda under-rated. They rank as high as 14th according to ESPN pass rush win rate, but Football Outsiders has the Panther rush defense towards the bottom at 28. The Ravens have two top 10 PBWR offensive linemen and the Panthers have two defensive tackles that are top 10 in PRWR, Matthew Ioannidis ranks seventh and Derrick Brown ranks 10th. Pro Football Focus grades the Panthers 19th overall and grades Matthew Ioannidis 22nd and Derrick Brown 10th at pass rush.

Philadelphia Eagles +12 at Indianapolis Colts

  • Eagles pass block fifth PFF, 21st FO, 11th ESPN
  • Colts pass rush 28th PFF, 15th FO, 30th ESPN

Pittsburgh Steelers +10.7 vs Cincinnati Bengals 

  • Steelers pass block 12th PFF, 16th FO, seventh ESPN
  • Bengals pass rush 17th PFF, 29th FO, 21st ESPN

By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell

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