Our NFL Premium Package is Now Available for the 2022 season! Get full access to our best bets, given out early in the week, in real time: sides, totals, player props, and more, all in one place, through the end of the Super Bowl.
TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES
Texans -23.3 at Cowboys Pass Rush
Giants -22 vs Eagles Pass Rush
Broncos -10.3 vs Chiefs Pass Rush
The Cowboys once again are the #1 pass rushing defenseaccording to our NFL Betting/Prop Cheat Sheet. #1 across the board at Pro Football Focus, Football Outsiders, and ESPN at run defense. Cowboy's edge rushers Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence pass rush grades are second and 19th per PFF. ESPNs pass rush win rate ranking also has Parsons second overall using their metric.
The Texans enter week 14 with the fourth worst pass protecting offensive line according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Both Football Outsiders and ESPN rank Houston's pass protection 22nd and Pro Football Focus grades the Texans 29th. PFF grades Houston's left tackle Laremy Tunsil the #1 pass blocker by PFF but unfortunately every other linemen ranks below average at pass blocking.
New York Giants -22 vs Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is the second ranked pass rushing defensive line according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. Pro Football Focus, Football Outsiders, and ESPN all rank the Eagles second overall. The Eagles have three players in the top 10 of ESPNs pass rush win rate ranking. Josh Sweat and Haason Reddick rank third and sixth at edge rusher and Javon Hargraves ranks fourth at defensive tackle. Hargraves also graded as the fourth best pass rushing defensive tackle according to PFF with three other front seven defenders graded in the top 20 at their position.
The Giants offensive line got a little healthier last week as two starters returned to the line up against the Commanders. Tackle Evan Neal and tight end Daniel Bellinger returned to help a below average pass blocking offensive line. Pro Football Focus grades the Giants pass blocking the highest at 18th. Football Outsiders ranks New York 31st and ESPNs pass block win rate ranks New York 23rd. PFF grades Giants right tackle Andrew Thomas as the fourth highest tackle at pass blocking, the rest of the unit is graded below average.
Denver Broncos -10.3 vs Kansas City Chiefs
Broncos pass block 17th PFF, 24th FO, 10th ESPN
Chiefs pass rush 8th PFF, 5th FO, 7th ESPN
TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES
Ravens Pass Blocking +15.7 at Steelers
Vikings Pass Blocking +14 at Lions
Browns Pass Blocking +13 at Bengals
Baltimore Ravens +15.7 at Steelers
The Ravens have the second best pass blocking offensive line according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus has Baltimore as the second highest graded offensive line and ESPN ranks them third at pass block win rate. With a 19th ranking, Football Outsiders is the lowest on the Ravens this week. Across the line Baltimore grades high according to PFF, beginning with the tackles, Ronnie Stanley and Morgan Moses grade second and 14th at pass blocking. The guards Ben Powers and Kevin Zeitler grade first and fourth overall at pass blocking. Tackle Morgan Moses ranks ninth at pass block win rate per ESPN.
The steel curtain is a bit flimsy this season. The Steelers are a below average pass rushing unit according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. ESPN pass rush win rate ranking has Pittsburgh the highest at 20th, while PFF grades the Steelers 25th, and Football Outsiders ranks Pittsburgh the lowest at 26th out of the 32 teams. The Steelers front seven are better at stopping the run than rushing the quarterback as not a single player grades 20th or higher at pass rush according to PFF.
Minnesota Vikings +14 at Detroit Lions
Minnesota has an average pass blocking offensive line protecting their quarterback against the worst pass rushing front seven in the league according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Football Outsiders ranks the Vikings offensive line 10th at pass blocking, while ESPNs pass block win rate ranking is 16th and Pro Football Focus grade ranking is 20th. ESPN ranks tackle Brain O'Neill second at pass block win rate, while PFF has tackle Christian Darrisaw the ninth graded pass blocker at his position.
Like I mentioned above Detroit is the lowest ranked pass rushing unit according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet with an average ranking of 29.3. Both Pro Football Focus and Football Outsiders ranks the Lions 28th at pass rush. Detroit's ESPN pass rush win rate rank is dead last at 32nd. Other than Malcolm Rodriguez not another Lion grades in the top 30 at their position.
Cleveland Browns +13 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Browns pass block 11th PFF, 11th FO, 6th ESPN
Bengals pass rush 16th PFF, 29th FO, 22nd ESPN
By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell
Want to have direct access to our network of Betting Predators handicappers? Sign up for our FREE Discord channel to get 24/7 direct access to our handicapping team, as well as our community of sharp bettors
Want an easy to find all of our Betting Predators content in one place? Sign up for our free newsletter, Substack and receive a weekly roundup on everything we've published (FREE + PREMIUM), and all that we're up to throughout the week. We promise we'll never give your email address out for advertising purposes.