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TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES
Bears -15.3 vs Eagles Pass Rush
Dolphins -15 at Bills Pass Rush
Texans -13.7 vs Chiefs Pass Rush
Giants -13.7 at Commanders Pass Rush
Jaguars -11.7 vs Cowboys Pass Rush
Chicago Bears -15.3 vs Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago enters week 15 with a pass blocking average of 11 overall according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet and all three rankings are completely different. ESPN's pass block win rate ranking has the Bears second overall, while Football Outsiders ranks Chicago dead last at 32. Pro Football Focus grades the Bears offensive line pass blocking in the middle at 16th. First time this season a ranking has been this crazily divided. ESPN's PBWR ranking has two Chicago offensive linemen in the top 10 at center and guard. Guard Cody Whitehair ranks second and center Sam Mustipherranks eighth at PBWR. Whitehair also is graded the ninth best guard out of 78 at pass blocking per PFF with every other Chicago offensive lineman grading around average at each position.
The Eagles defensive line has been a juggernaut. Most offensive lines this season can't stop them from getting to their quarterback. Philadelphia flies high again as the #1 overall pass rush this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet edging out Dallas. Pro Football Focus and ESPN's pass rush win rate rankings has Philadelphia #1 while Football Outsiders ranks the Eagles pass rush second. Pro Football Focus grades Josh Sweat 17th, Javon Hargraves fourth, and Haason Reddick ninth at pass rushing while the other front seven pass rushers rank average or above. ESPN also ranks these three players in their pass rush win rate metric. Haason Reddick and Josh Sweat rank third and six at PRWR for edge rushers. Javon Hargraves is third at PRWR for defensive tackle.
Miami Dolphins -15 at Buffalo Bills
The one weakness of this exciting Dolphins offensive has been their offensive line this season. Miami has dealt with injuries and underperforming play from their front five. Football Outsiders ranks the Dolphins pass blocking abilities the highest at 14, but Pro Football Focus and ESPN rank Miami lower at 31st and 25th. ESPN doesn't have a single Dolphin ranked in their pass block win rate metric, but Pro Football focus does have three of Miami's offensive linemen graded 14th or higher at pass blocking. Not bad for a 31st overall pass blocking grade.
Buffalo has the fifth best pass rushing average according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. Despite losing Von Miller for the season Buffalo can still get plenty of pressure on the opposing quarterback. Pro Football Focus grades Buffalo the highest at pass rushing, fourth overall. ESPN's pass rush win rate ranking has the Bill eighth and Football Outsiders ranks Buffalo the lowest at 13th. PPF follows up a fourth overall grade by grading three players in the Bills front seven with a 13th or higher pass rush grade. Defensive tackle DaQuan Jones grades 13th, edge rushers Gregory Rousseau grades 10th, and linebacker Matt Milano grades ninth at pass rusher. The rest of the defensive front seven grade average or above. ESPN's pass rush win rate only ranks defensive tackle DaQuan Jones with a ninth overall rank at his position.
Houston Texans -13.7 vs Kansas City Chiefs
Texans pass block 30th PFF, 18th FO, 22nd ESPN
Chiefs pass rush 11th PFF, 5th FO, 13th ESPN
New York Giants -13.7 at Washington Commanders
Giants pass block 19th PFF, 31st FO, 27th ESPN
Commanders pass rush 8th PFF, 9th FO, 19th ESPN
Jacksonville Jaguars -11.7 vs Dallas Cowboys
Jaguars pass block 4th PFF, 6th FO, 30th ESPN
Cowboys pass rush 2nd PFF, 1st FO, 2nd ESPN
TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES
Eagles Pass Blocking +16.7 at Bears
Buccaneers Pass Blocking +13 vs Bengals
Saints Pass Blocking +12 vs Falcons
Jets Pass Blocking +10.3 vs Lions
Panthers Pass Blocking +10.3 vs Steelers
Steelers Pass Blocking +10 at Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles +16.7 at Chicago Bears
Philadelphia has the seventh highest advantage this week at pass blocking according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus grades the Eagles #1 overall, ESPN's pass block win rate rank has Philadelphia ninth, while Football Outsiders ranks the Eagles the lowest at 23rd. The Eagles have one offensive lineman in the top ten at each position according to ESPN's pass block win rate ranking. Lane Johnson leads all tackles as the #1 PBWR tackle, Landon Dickinson is third overall at guard, and at center Jason Kelce ranks sixth. PFF grades these three high as well, with Landon Dickinson 11th, Lane Johnson third, and Jason Kelce second overall at their positions. The other guard Isaac Seumalo grades 21st overall at pass blocking.
There is no confusion about the Bears defensive pass rush, it's awful. Chicago has the second worst pass rushing average ranking according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. Pro Football Focus grades Chicago dead last at 32nd. While Football Outsiders isn't far behind at 30th. ESPN's pass rush win rate ranking has the Bears the highest at 21. PFF has every single player in the Bears front seven graded below average at pass rushing, while ESPN doesn't have any Bears in the top 10 of either pass rush win rate rank.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +13 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay has the sixth best pass blocking averages this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Looking to get healthy on the offensive line, Tampa Bay's opponent this week has a below average pass rush to block against. Football Outsiders ranks Tampa Bay the highest, #1 overall while Pro Football Focus grades the Buccaneers sixth, and ESPN ranks Tampa Bay the lowest, 24th at pass block win rate. Tampa Bay has three offensive linemen that grade 25th or higher at their position. Tristan Wirfs is the only player Tampa Bay has in the top 10 of ESPN's pass block win rate.
The Bengals have the fourth worst pass rush according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus grades Cincinnati the highest at 18th, ESPN pass rush win rate rank is 23rd, and Football Outsiders ranks Cincinnati the lowest at 29th. Edge rusher Trey Hendrickson is ranked fourth by ESPN for pass rush win rate. PFF also grades Hendrickson seventh at pass rush, while the rest of the Bengals front seven grade average to below average at pass rush.
New Orleans Saints +12 vs Atlanta Falcons
Saints pass block 26th PFF, 15th FO, 12th ESPN
Falcons pass rush 31st PFF, 32nd FO, 26th ESPN
New York Jets +10.3 vs Detroit Lions
Jets pass block 21st PFF, 13th FO, 15th ESPN
Lions pass rush 26th PFF, 26th FO, 28th ESPN
Carolina Panthers +10.3 vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Panthers pass block 5th PFF, 19th FO, 14th ESPN
Steelers pass rush 25th PFF, 24th FO, 20th ESPN
Pittsburgh Steelers +10 at Carolina Panthers
Steelers pass block 13th PFF, 16th FO, 8th ESPN
Panthers pass rush 24th PFF, 25th FO, 18th ESPN
By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell
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