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TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES
Bengals -16.7 vs Bills Pass Rush
Saints -16.3 at Eagles Pass Rush
Colts -14.7 atGiants Pass Rush
Commanders -12.7 vs Browns Pass Rush
Seahawks -10.7 vs Jets Pass Rush
Broncos -10.3 at Chiefs Pass Rush
Cincinnati Bengals -16.7 vs Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati enters week 17 with the third worst pass blocking offensive line according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. The Bengals are ranked 30th at pass block win rate according to ESPN, grade 30th at pass blocking by Pro Football Focus, and Football Outsiders ranks Cincinnati pass blocking the highest out of the three at 20th overall. The Bengals did lose tackle La'el Collins for the season in last week's victory over the Patriots. PFF grades Collins a better run blocker than pass blocker but his experience will be missed. Center Ted Karras is graded the fourth best pass blocking center and Alex Cappa grades the 21st best guard out of 78 according to PFF. The rest of the Bengals offensive line grades below average. No Bengals made ESPN's top ten pass blocking win rate ranking.
Buffalo has the seventh best pass rushing front seven according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. Pro Football Focus grades the Bill the highest fifth overall, ESPN's pass rush win rate ranks Buffalo ninth, and Football Outsiders is lowest on the Bills pass rush at 16. Five of the seven front seven starters for Buffalo grade above average at pass rushing. Three of those players grade 17th or higher at their position. Linebacker Matt Milano grades 13th out of 51 linebackers, edge rushers Gregory Rousseau grades 15th out of 113 edge rushers, and defensive tackle DaQuan Jones grades 17th out of 102 defensive tackles. No healthy Bills made ESPN's pass rush win rate top 10 rankings.
New Orleans Saints -16.3 at Philadelphia Eagles
The Saints rank slightly below average at pass blocking this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. ESPN's pass block win rate metric ranks the Saints the highest at 13th, followed by Football Outsiders who rank New Orleans 17th, and Pro Football Focus grades the Saints the lowest at pass blocking, 23rd. Center Erik McCoy is the only Saints offensive linemen to rank in the top 10 of ESPN's pass block win rate ranking third overall at his position. PFF grades both of the Saint's tackles James Hurst and Ryan Ramczyk 24th out of 80 at pass blocking. The rest of the Saints offensive line grades below average at pass blocking.
Indianapolis Colts -14.7 at New York Giants
Colts pass block 28th PFF, 28th FO, 32nd ESPN
Giants pass rush 15th PFF, 21th FO, 8th ESPN
Washington Commanders -12.7 vs Cleveland Browns
Commanders pass block 24th PFF, 22nd FO, 28th ESPN
Browns pass rush 7th PFF, 15th FO, 14th ESPN
Seattle Seahawks -10.7 vs New York Jets
Seahawks pass block 21st PFF, 24th FO, 10th ESPN
Jets pass rush 3rd PFF, 10th FO, 10th ESPN
Denver Broncos -10.3 at Kansas City Chiefs
Broncos pass block 16th PFF, 31st FO, 11th ESPN
Chiefs pass rush 9th PFF, 6th FO, 12th ESPN
TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES
Lions Pass Blocking +15.3 vs Bears
Cardinals Pass Blocking +15 at Falcons
Packers Pass Blocking +14 vs Vikings
Buccaneers Pass Blocking +12.7 vs Panthers
Bills Pass Blocking +12.3 at Bengals
Eagles Pass Blocking +12 vs Saints
49ers Pass Blocking +11.7 at Raiders
Ravens Pass Blocking +10.7 vs Steelers
Detroit Lions +15.3 vs Chicago Bears
The Lions have an above average pass blocking advantage this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Our three rankings differ in so many ways. Football Outsiders ranks the Lions the highest at second overall at pass blocking, ESPN ranks Detroit 14th overall at pass block win rate, and Pro Football Focus grades the Lions the lowest at 25th at pass blocking. Guard Jonah Jackson ranks 10th on ESPN's top 10 list for pass block win rate at his position. PFF grades two of the Lions offensive linemen average at their positions. Tackles Penei Sewell and Taylor Decker grades 35th and 32nd out of 80 at their position.
The Bears are the second worst pass rushing defense this week according to our pass rush rankings. ESPN has Chicago ranked the highest at 24th overall at pass rush win rate, Football Outsiders ranks the Bears 31st at pass rush, and Pro Football Focus ranks the Bears dead last at 32nd. PFF has defensive tackle Justin Jones the highest graded player in Chicago’s front seven at 54th out of 102. The rest of the Bears front seven are below average. Chicago does not have a player on ESPN's top ten list for pass rush win rate at either position.
Green Bay Packers +14 vs Minnesota Vikings
The Packers are tied for the best pass blocking average this week with Kansas City. Both Football Outsiders and ESPN's pass block win rate rankings has Green Bay ranked seventh. Pro Football Focus grades the Packers third overall at pass blocking. Packer Yosh Nijman ranks ninth on ESPN's PBWR ranking for guards. PFF pass blocking grade has center Josh Myers 5th out of 38 center, Jon Runyan 7th out of 78 guards, and Zach Tom 13th out of 80 tackles. Guard Elgton Jenkins and tackle Yosh Nijman both grade above average at pass blocking.
The Vikings rank below average at pass rush average this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Both Football Outsiders and ESPN ranks Minnesota in the 20s. Football Outsiders has the Vikings ranked 23rd and ESPN's pass rush win rate rankings is 28th. In a surprise grade, Pro Football Focus grades the Vikings eighth. PFF grades three of the Vikings front seven 19th or higher at pass rush. Edge rusher Danielle Hunter grades 19th, linebackers Jordan Hicks 10th, and defensive tackle Za'Darius Smith eighth. The rest of the Vikings front seven grade average to below average. No Vikings made ESPN's PRWR rankings at either position.
Arizona Cardinals +15 at Atlanta Falcons
Cardinals pass block 14th PFF, 15th FO, 15th ESPN
Falcons pass rush 31st PFF, 32nd FO, 26th ESPN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12.7 vs Carolina Panthers
Buccaneers pass block 4th PFF, 1st FO, 24th ESPN
Panthers pass rush 21st PFF, 27th FO, 19th ESPN
Buffalo Bills +12.3 at Cincinnati Bengals
Bills pass block 22nd PFF, 8th FO, 4th ESPN
Bengals pass rush 20th PFF, 28th FO, 23rd ESPN
Philadelphia Eagles +12 vs New Orleans Saints
Eagles pass block 1st PFF, 19th FO, 9th ESPN
Saints pass rush 26th PFF, 7th FO, 32nd ESPN
San Francisco 49ers +11.7 at Las Vegas Raiders
49ers pass block 5th PFF, 9th FO, 22nd ESPN
Raiders pass rush 21st PFF, 30th FO, 20th ESPN
Baltimore Ravens +10.7 vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Ravens pass block 2nd PFF, 23rd FO, 5th ESPN
Steelers pass rush 23rd PFF, 22nd FO, 17th ESPN
By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell
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