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Doug W
We fell short last week as the Colts continued their Week 1 woes, massively underperforming versus a bottom feeder Texans team. The chance for a backdoor cover came and went as we saw Rodrigo Blankenship go wide right in OT, but we move on.
Week 2’s teaser market did not present as many options comparatively to Week 1, but below are two sides I have comfortably landed on (note that I also do really like the Vikings @PHI in a 6 point teaser as well).
1st Leg: Cincinnati Bengals -1 (@DAL)
It is important not to overreact to Week 1, but there are some situations you just can not ignore. The Dallas Cowboys fall under the category of “can not ignore”. Not only did they look awful in the home opener, but they lost Dak Prescott and have a slew of injuries across the offensive line. While the Cowboys defense does have the ability to make game changing plays, the offense is poised to do them no favors. I can not fathom backing a Cooper Rush led offense that has a lack of legitimacy with their pass catchers outside of CeeDee Lamb.
I was not too surprised by the Bengals loss last weekend. They faced a bitter rival in the Steelers and, franchise QB, Joe Burrow had to get reacclimated against a tough defense after player zero snaps in the preseason. This is a perfect bounce back spot for a talented team trying to prove that they are the real deal after last year’s Super Bowl run. The Cowboys got carved up for 153 yards on the ground last weekend and I expect Joe Mixon and company to do the same. This will undoubtedly open up the passing game for the NFL’s best, pass catching trio. Assuming Burrow is more mindful with his decision-making after his four interceptions last week, the Bengals should be able to score at a pace that is unattainable for the Dak-less Cowboys offense.
2nd Leg: New Orleans +8.5 (vs. TB)
Yes, there are different coaches on the sidelines for both teams, but the Saints are an impressive 4-1 vs. the Buccaneers during Tom Brady’s tenure with the team (4-0 in the regular season). It took the full 60 minutes for the Saints to put away the lesser Falcons last weekend, but I was impressed with how the offense looked. The additions of Jarvis Landry and Chris Olave, along with a now healthy Michael Thomas, is already paying dividends for a team that struggled to score last season. The Saints also feature one of the better home field advantages in all of football.
It is always hard to bet against Tom Brady, but the Buccaneers are one of the more banged up teams in the league. Chris Godwin has already been ruled out, while Julio Jones and Russell Gage seem to be on the wrong side of questionable. Leonard Fournette and Mike Evans were limited at practice all week and the offensive line is far from a full unit. Despite the Bucs success running the ball last weekend, the Saints were 4th best against the run in 2021. If Tampa Bay can not establish a ground game, which will be a taller task this weekend, I am not so sure they will be able to overpower the Saints offensively, given their aforementioned injuries amongst their pass catchers. I view this NFC South showdown as a coin flip and feel very good about neither side getting margin, especially given the historical results we have seen from these two teams.
Week 2's Teaser of the Week: Cincinnati Bengals -1 (@DAL) & New Orleans +8.5 (vs. TB)