Sleepy J's Top Week 14 Lookahead Line: Falcons at Chargers +2.5 Over 49.5)
Typically, teams coming off a blowout loss are good to look at betting on. The Los Angeles Chargers got smashed against the New England Patriots in Week 13, but the Chargers now get a home game to bounce back and "get right." The key to this game is coaching. Anthony Lynn might be fired before this game gets played, which could give the Chargers some added life. Lynn might also still be on the sideline and coaching for his life if he doesn't get the axe between now and Sunday. Either way, this is a good thing for the Chargers. If Lynn is on the sideline when this game takes place, the over is a great wager as well. Why so? Well, the logical thing to do if you’re a defensive coordinator is to let your defense get smashed week after week until the head coached gets axed. Then, you get a job as an interim head coach. Raheem Morris did that in Atlanta, and now his defense has gone from #31 in the league to about top 10 defense since he took over as head coach. Don’t be surprised if Gus Bradley lets his defense get torched by the Falcons in similar fashion in this spot. This line only goes down and the total only goes up in that case. I believe you have value in both wagers here, but the over 49.5 total makes the most sense to me though.
Chris Dell's Top Week 14 Lookahead Line: Colts -2.5 @ Raiders
We cashed our Week 13 best bet with the Colts -3 at the Houston Texans, and despite a tough divisional showdown on the road, Indianapolis came through with an impressive performance on both sides of the ball to cover the short spread. Despite a miserable start to his 2020 season, TY Hilton has looked like his old self of late, posting 8-110-1 on 11 targets and now has 12-191-2 on 16 targets over the Colts' past two games as Philip Rivers has been slinging the ball with success. Jonathan Taylor also returned from the COVID-19 list (close contact) and continued his second straight game with borderline bell cow usage. The rookie from Wisconsin ran for 13-91 and caught all three of his targets for 44 yards and a score, giving him 35-181 over his last two starts on the ground and 7-68-1 on seven targets through the air. The Colts offense is humming and looks balanced, something we can't say about the Las Vegas Raiders right now. Jon Gruden's club needed a 200-yard outing from Darren Waller and a miracle play to pull out a win over the New York Jets, and despite the Raiders' 7-5 record, they've looked pretty bad on both sides of the ball over these past few weeks. The Colts continue to have extra motivation as they're still tied for first place in the AFC South with the Tennessee Titans and are one game ahead of Las Vegas for the final wild card spot as well. With Josh Jacobs still banged up, and the Colts defense only getting healthier, we need to take advantage of this -2.5 before it passes through the key number of 3. I believe this line will close -3.5 or more, and the Colts offense will be one to target heavily in DFS against this pathetic Raiders defense.