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"Money Picks" Player Props Podcast Written Recap (FREE PREVIEW)

· NFL,Fantasy,Mike D'Angelo

By Mike D'Angelo

@DAngelo7M

PLEASE NOTE: This article is a FREE preview of our new NFL 2021 In-Season Package, which includes best bet player props from the Betting Predators team for every primetime game and every main Sunday slate, as well as access to our private betting Discord channel for subscribers and much more. Click here to learn more about our in-season package and how to get access to our NFL Power Ratings, DFS Strategy & Top Plays for every slate, Projected Line Movements/Lookahead Lines and information about our top player props and best bets as we make our wagers throughout the week. Any questions? Please email us at bettingpredators@gmail.com or shoot us a DM/message or comment on Twitter @BetPredators.

DISCLAIMER: Some lines may change from the time of podcast recording and publishing of this written recap before Sunday. Also, please know that that these are not official plays. I only give a very simplified version of Chris Dell and Sleepy's handicaps here below, simply because there will be stuff you may miss if you don't listen to the podcast and because we only have so much time to digest this in written form. Be sure to listen to the Betting Predators' weekly Player Props "Money Picks" podcast every Friday and also read Chris Dell's NFL Player Props column (released Sunday morning on the website) for his official plays.

In order to listen to the full audio version of this podcast, scroll to the bottom of this page or click here to listen to it in its entirely on Spotify. You can also subscribe to our free blog by scrolling below and entering your email address in order to receive an email alert every time we publish a new article on the site.

New York Jets (+4) vs Carolina Panthers - O/U 45

Sleepy Likes Zach wilson longest completion Ov 35.5 Yards

Analysis:

  • Zach Wilson was known at BYU for throwing long bombs

  • Carolina pass rush is bad

  • Secondary for the panthers is not much better

Chris Likes Corey Davis Ov 54.5 + Elijah Moore Ov Receptions

Analysis:

  • Signed a decent contract

  • Flashed in fantasy (overachieved)

  • Rivaled AJ brown in every statistical category

  • Zach wilson will probably look for Moore in the slot a bit

Notes: Terrace Marshall for Carolina is also a guy that is being looked at but due to the other pass catchers on the Carolina team, there is uncertainty.

Buffalo Bills (-6.5) vs Steelers - O/U 48

Sleepy Likes Najee Harris Anytime TD (+120)

Analysis:

  • Pitt wants to get the rookie involved

  • Not a deep running group

  • Probably is going to use him a lot of the time

  • Buffalo defense is not as good as people think and can get ran on

  • Total is high so Steelers are looked at to score quite a bit

Chris Likes Chase Claypool Ov 49.5 Rec Yards + Emmanuel Sanders Ov 33.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Value play

  • Low yards being set for him

  • Was able to make huge plays last year and now is projected to be in a shootout with Pittsburgh

  • Does not run the shallow routes

  • Big ben should be better than last year (health)

  • Have a running game to open up the passing

  • Sanders is suppose to be a #2 for Allen

  • Let go of John Brown

  • Sanders discounted because of inconsistency which was due to NO QB situation

  • In one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL

Notes: Chris likes all receivers for Pittsburgh, would not be surprised if they go over. However, he does seem to believe that the numbers are pumped up a little. Najee Harris is a target but there are too many questions on how he fits into the scheme.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta (-3) - O/U 48.5

Sleepy Likes Miles Sanders Ov 64.5 Rush Yards + Hurts Ov 39.5 Rush Yards + Russell Gage Ov 50.5 Rec Yards + Ov 4.5 Receptions

Analysis:

  • Philly struggled due to the offensive line

  • The offence is not as bad as people think

  • Make or break year for Sanders

  • Most of philly will be underpriced due to bias

  • Gage vs Maddox

  • Sleeper in this match up in the slot for Atlanta

Chris Leans Quez Watkins Ov 23.5 Yards + Dallas Goedert Un 42.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Seemed to click with jalen hurts in preseason

  • A lot of value on the number

  • Slated to be the WR3 in this offence

  • Crushed this number in both starts

  • Reagor has been a bust so far

  • Dallas went under this number every game he played with Hurts

Notes: Ridley should be doing well this season, should go over his total but not sure due to the high number. The market seems to be over adjusting.

San Francisco vs Detroit (+8.5) - O/U 46.5

Chris Likes Raheem Mostert Un 16.5 Carries

Analysis:

  • Line has moved down already

  • He has been very fragile

  • He has been under this number 21 out of 23 regular season game

  • Lions top OL player (LT) is out

  • Probably will not be able to compete with San Francisco

  • Have no reason to run Mostert into the ground

Notes: Line has moved to 15.5 carries for Mostert, still comfortable to bet at this number. Chris leans Swift Ov Rec yards, Under 43.5 rushing Yards + Williams Un 30.5 Rush Yards. Can see Goff checking down to Swift a lot as he did with Gurley a couple of years back. Season Long bets - D'andre swift Under Season Touchdowns and rushing yards.

Arizona vs Tennessee (-3) - O/U 53.5

Chris Likes Rondale Moore Ov 2.5 Catches + AJ Brown Ov 67.5 Yards

Analysis:

  • An amazing value play on Moore

  • He can break the defence in one catch or take in six of his targets

  • Fits in this system

  • Biggest shootout of the week

  • AJ Brown is not getting enough market respect

  • Julio needs time with Tannehill

  • Will likely find brown out of habit

Notes: DFS Perspective may try to stack Tennessee QB and WRs then add Hopkins to bring it back. Avoiding the Running backs in this match up. No concern over AJ Brown. Sleepy mentioned Hopkins to score a TD (+120). Murray is likely to throw a lot against a poor secondary and find his safety blanket.

Seattle vs Indianapolis (+3) - O/U 49

Sleepy Likes Cris Carson Ov 15.5 Rec Yards + Leans Carson TD

Analysis:

  • Last year he was targeted 46, 37 receptions

  • Overlooked in this offense

  • Always seemed involved around the goal line

  • He cleared this in 7 of his first nine games last year

Chris Likes DK Metcalf Ov 74.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Plays with an incredibly efficient QB

  • New OC hopefully gets Metcalf open more this season

  • Most physically talented in the league

  • Lockett is getting older, No reason for DK regression

  • 74.5 simply not enough for this player

Notes: Sleepy has nothing on this game, the game was not of interest. Chris Agrees with sleepy on the Carson pick but does mention that he has to look into it. Also Everett is a target and Dissly under yards. *Future bet made by Sleepy = Mike Evans Ov Yards*

Vikings vs Bengals (+3) - O/U 47

Sleepy Leans Joe Burrow Ov 7.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Analysis:

  • Hit this 7 out of 10 games last year

  • Health is questionable

  • Logic here is: would rather run away from someone to save your knee then get clobbered in the pocket

Chris Likes Tee Higgins Ov 59.5 Rec Yards + Leans Thielen Un Rec Yards + Likes Boyd Ov 4.5 Receptions

Analysis:

  • Higgens is the guy and will get volume here

  • Top 10 Fantasy Rec with burrow at the helm

  • Vikings defence is better but not elite

  • A lot of additions on the back line

  • Thielan was used for touchdowns while Jefferson was used to move chains

Notes: Burrows health is an issue, or rather a question mark. Dalvin Cook should have a massive day against Cincy. Not sure if Cincy will even be competitive in this game. Tyler Boyd is also a big target.

Chargers vs WFT (-1) - O/U 44.5

Sleepy Leans Fitzpatrick Ov 1.5 TDs

Analysis:

  • Should be able to do a job and get multiple people in end zone

  • Likes to gun the ball down the field, especially early

  • Has a bunch of weapons at his disposal (Gibson, Mclaurin, Thomas)

Chris Likes Jared Cook Under 33.5 Receiving Yards + McLaurin Ov 71.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Former XFL star 6’ 7” guy could split work here

  • Tough match up

  • A plethora of targets for Herbert will likely shift attention away from cook

  • Even though the number is low, he has compete in his own position it seems for targets

  • Herbert will likely go to people that he's comfortable with, and Cook has just arrived

  • Very Juicy for washington

  • Fitz has not played with such weapons before in his career

  • At home in a plus matchup and better QB play

Notes: Keenan Allen is very juiced on his Ov Receptions (very popular play). Tough to bet on Ekeler.

Jacksonville vs Houston (+3) - O/U 46

Chris Leans Brandin Cooks Ov Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Tyrod taylor can move the ball

  • Uses his weapons to a passable degree

  • Cooks is the only man left standing in this offence and gets a good match up in a bad Jax secondary

Notes: Sleepy skips out of this one.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs New Orleans - O/U 49.5

Sleepy Likes Alvin Kamara Ov 4.5 Receptions (5.5 now)

Analysis:

  • Wiston is probably going to be made to relax on the deep throws a bit

  • Offense is going to be run around Kamara

Chris Likes Marcedes Lewis Un 8.5 Rec Yards + Adam Trautman Un 13.5 Yards + Aaron Jones Ov 19.5 Rec Yards + Calloway Ov 44.5 Rec Yards

Analysis:

  • Had 9 rec yards or less in 5 out of the 6 first games

  • Tonyan clearly the first pick TE

  • Jowan johnson has been converted to TE and seems to be pick 1 for the saints

  • Trautman was taken off the field weeks ago so his health is a question

  • AJ Dillon is not known to catch the ball

  • Jones to have most of the work in this back field

  • Calloway with a competent QB as a WR1 should not be that low of a number

  • It may be a chance but a risk that is worth taking in this week one matchup

Cleveland vs Kansas City (-5.5) - O/U 54.5

Sleepy Likes Tyreek Hill Un 6.5 Receptions

Analysis:

  • CEH to take some of the targets

  • Sammy watkins leaving and now hardman steps in could take away targets

  • Cleveland knows he's a problem and will look to shut him down

  • His yards are more volatile but can possibly limit his receptions

Dolphins vs Patriots (-3) - O/U 43.5

*No one likes anyone at this game, Meyers is a target for Chris but not really interested when this podcast was done*

Denver vs NYG (+3) - O/U 41.5

Sleepy Likes Teddy Bridgewater Ov 1.5 Touchdowns

Analysis:

  • A lot of weapons at his disposal

  • Not sure if running in the endzone will be what Denver does

  • Feels like Throwing against this Giants secondary will happen

Chris Likes Jerry Juedy Ov Receiving Yards + Receptions + Lean Ov Javonte Williams Carries

Analysis:

  • Teddy liking to check down to his low A-dot receivers

  • Year 2 break out narrative

  • Has great value on his props

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