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CLE's NFL Over/Under Best Bet, Week 1: Back Aaron Rodgers on MNF?

@CLEpicks breaks down his favorite over/under bet for this Sunday's NFL slate

· CLE Picks,NFL

NFL Premium Betting Package is now available for the 2023 season. We are +33.64 units (56% win rate) since launching two years ago in 2021: Get $50 OFF with code "BET50"

NFL WEEK 1 TOTAL OF THE WEEK: MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Hey everyone, CLE Picks here with another Week 1 debut - THE NFL VERSION DEBUT, that is - of our “CLE's Total of the Week" column. And there's truly no better time to debut our first NFL total of the year.

Last year we were successful in cashing these plays consistently, including our final one of the year in Super Bowl LVII when we hit on our first half over bet.

But it's now 2023. So let’s get this season started with another win as we travel to MetLife stadium on Monday night for a team total as the Jets host their AFC East rival Buffalo Bills. I'll break down my handicap and reasononing below, before getting into the bet:

NEW YORK JETS VS. BUFFALO BILLS: OVER OR UNDER?

The New York Jets come into this season as the obvious media darlings of the offseason, the reason of course being the acquisition of 4-time MVP Aaron Rodgers from the Green Bay Packers.

But the hype for this year also includes having both offensive and defensive rookie of the year from 2022 in Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner-Johnson. In addition to adding Rodgers the Jets also went out and added former Vikings star running back Dalvin Cook. The Bills, on the other hand, are coming off a disappointing home divisional round loss to the Bengals. Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier left and star pass rusher Von Miller won’t be ready to start the season after ACL surgery during the offseason.

Look, maybe I will fully admit that part of me feels like I have been drinking the Jets Kool-Aid too.

Maybe it’s the Rodgers pickup, maybe it’s the 4-letter network and Pat McAfee shoving the Jets into my brain every day or maybe it’s how great this year’s season of Hard Knocks truly was.

In the end, however, I will say that I still love the makeup of this Jets team.

Throw on top of it MetLife Stadium should be rocking on Monday night, and I expect the Jets come out flying in this one (no pun intended).

It’s not being talked about enough, but the downfall of the Bills a year ago was the lack of pass rush once Von Miller went out with his torn ACL. And again as stated before, he is not back yet. So a lack of pass rush, plus Rodgers' home debut, and I believe we get a great performance by this Jets offense on Monday night.

THE BET: NYJ TEAM TOTAL OVER

New York Jets - Team Total OVER 22.5 (-110)

@CLEPicks 

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We are nearly +34 units profit since launching our premium package two seasons ago (+19 units in 2022 and +14 units in 2021)

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