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NFL Week 5 Lookahead Lines & Best Bets Forecast w/ Steve Rieder

· NFL,Premium,Steve Rieder
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By Steve Rieder

@AvoidtheVig

Editor's Note: To view our weekly premium content schedule for our NFL In-Season Package, click here.

LOOKAHEAD OVERVIEW

Every week several domestic and off-shore books post lookahead lines for the following week’s games.  Essentially, next week’s lines are being offered before this week’s games even kick-off.  Lookahead lines offer tremendous opportunities because of the uncertainty that goes along with it.

As the week progresses, the NFL betting marketplace becomes more efficient.  Sharps and syndicates alike find the value in the sides and totals and correct the misprices.  By the weekend, almost all of the value has dried up for the NFL Sunday slate becoming the most efficient marketplace in the world.  The public will still bet their favorite teams, the heavy favorites, and their 10-team parlays without realizing how -EV their plays are.  At this point, sharps and recreational betters alike would find more success turning their attention to next week’s look ahead lines.

Syndicates typically don’t spend as much time or energy with the lookahead lines, not because they don’t see the value, but because of the low limits.  Much like the prop and derivative marketplace, lookahead lines are ripe for the sharp bettor to take advantage of.  As a rule of thumb: the lower the limit, the better the value.

Lookahead lines typically don’t adjust as quickly as the current week’s lines.  If a team gets steamed in the current week’s game, it is prudent to immediately look to see if there is value on the team the following week.  Much like the Sunday night openers, betting lookahead lines are the most valuable at post.  Some books may post on different days and at different times, but getting to know the schedule of your book can be extremely advantageous.

LOOKAHEAD HISTORY

WEEK 2:

  • Pick: DEN -2.5
  • Closed: DEN -6
  • Outcome: WON

WEEK 3:

  • PICK: NYG -2.5
  • CLOSED: NYG -3 (+100)
  • OUTCOME: LOST

WEEK 4:

  • PICK: NE +5.5
  • CURRENT: NE +7
  • OUTCOME: TBD

WEEK 5 LOOKAHEAD LINES

There were several potential plays this week that caught my eye.  As more games are played and more data sets are calculated, we get a better feel for who these teams are, their strengths and weaknesses, and which teams they may have success or struggle against.  So it's no real surprise that I found value in several plays.  For the sake of not getting carried away, I narrowed down our actionable options to 3 best bets.  I truly feel we will find closing line value by playing it early and have a great shot at cashing all three tickets.  

Please note: to view the rest of the Betting Predators' NFL Week 3 Lookahead Forecast, including best bets, player props, bets under consideration, and other actionable notes, please click the link below to subscribe to our NFL In-Season package. With a premium subscription you will also have access to our Private Betting/Subscriber Discord channel, where we drop bets in real-time to our subscribers as make them throughout the week, in order to maximize our CLV. For any questions about our in-season package or issues trying to register, please email bettingpredators@gmail.com or send us a DM on Twitter @BetPredators. For a limited time only, you can also use code 'NFL15' to receive $15 off your order.

NFL WEEK 5 LOOKAHEAD FORECAST: SIGN UP TO ACCESS
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