broken image
broken image
  • HOME
  • SUBSCRIBE NOW
  • FREE PICKS
  • PODCAST
  • NEWSLETTER
  • FOOTBALL 
    • NFL WEEK 3 OL/DL: Betting, Props & Fantasy Cheat Sheet
    • LISTEN: NFL Week 3 Betting Preview, Picks & Predictions
    • Chris Dell's Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: The Top 200
    • The Betting Predators' NFL Week 3 Power Ratings
    • CLE's College Football Week 4 Power Ratings: How far does Tennessee tumble?
    • CLE's College Football Week 4 Over/Under Best Bet: Will ACC heavyweights put up points?
    • WATCH: Who takes top-10 tilt in Ohio State vs. Notre Dame?
    • Mackenzie Rivers' Week 2 Primetime Best Bet: Over or under on SNF?
    • LISTEN: NFL Week 2 Player Props with Sleepy & Chris Dell
  • PREMIUM 
    • NFL PREMIUM BETS TRACKER (2023)
    • NFL PREMIUM BETS PACKAGE (2023)
  • STRATEGY 
    • FREE: NFL BETTING PREVIEW BOOK (2023)
    • NFL Team Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter (2023)
    • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
    • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data & Putting Stats
    • Hunting The UFC: Mixed Martial Arts Betting Strategy 101
    • Chris Dell's FIFA Soccer Betting Preview: Colombia vs. Germany
  • ABOUT 
    • Free Podcasts
    • The Team
  • …  
    • HOME
    • SUBSCRIBE NOW
    • FREE PICKS
    • PODCAST
    • NEWSLETTER
    • FOOTBALL 
      • NFL WEEK 3 OL/DL: Betting, Props & Fantasy Cheat Sheet
      • LISTEN: NFL Week 3 Betting Preview, Picks & Predictions
      • Chris Dell's Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: The Top 200
      • The Betting Predators' NFL Week 3 Power Ratings
      • CLE's College Football Week 4 Power Ratings: How far does Tennessee tumble?
      • CLE's College Football Week 4 Over/Under Best Bet: Will ACC heavyweights put up points?
      • WATCH: Who takes top-10 tilt in Ohio State vs. Notre Dame?
      • Mackenzie Rivers' Week 2 Primetime Best Bet: Over or under on SNF?
      • LISTEN: NFL Week 2 Player Props with Sleepy & Chris Dell
    • PREMIUM 
      • NFL PREMIUM BETS TRACKER (2023)
      • NFL PREMIUM BETS PACKAGE (2023)
    • STRATEGY 
      • FREE: NFL BETTING PREVIEW BOOK (2023)
      • NFL Team Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter (2023)
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data & Putting Stats
      • Hunting The UFC: Mixed Martial Arts Betting Strategy 101
      • Chris Dell's FIFA Soccer Betting Preview: Colombia vs. Germany
    • ABOUT 
      • Free Podcasts
      • The Team
PREMIUM PICKS
broken image
broken image
  • HOME
  • SUBSCRIBE NOW
  • FREE PICKS
  • PODCAST
  • NEWSLETTER
  • FOOTBALL 
    • NFL WEEK 3 OL/DL: Betting, Props & Fantasy Cheat Sheet
    • LISTEN: NFL Week 3 Betting Preview, Picks & Predictions
    • Chris Dell's Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: The Top 200
    • The Betting Predators' NFL Week 3 Power Ratings
    • CLE's College Football Week 4 Power Ratings: How far does Tennessee tumble?
    • CLE's College Football Week 4 Over/Under Best Bet: Will ACC heavyweights put up points?
    • WATCH: Who takes top-10 tilt in Ohio State vs. Notre Dame?
    • Mackenzie Rivers' Week 2 Primetime Best Bet: Over or under on SNF?
    • LISTEN: NFL Week 2 Player Props with Sleepy & Chris Dell
  • PREMIUM 
    • NFL PREMIUM BETS TRACKER (2023)
    • NFL PREMIUM BETS PACKAGE (2023)
  • STRATEGY 
    • FREE: NFL BETTING PREVIEW BOOK (2023)
    • NFL Team Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter (2023)
    • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
    • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data & Putting Stats
    • Hunting The UFC: Mixed Martial Arts Betting Strategy 101
    • Chris Dell's FIFA Soccer Betting Preview: Colombia vs. Germany
  • ABOUT 
    • Free Podcasts
    • The Team
  • …  
    • HOME
    • SUBSCRIBE NOW
    • FREE PICKS
    • PODCAST
    • NEWSLETTER
    • FOOTBALL 
      • NFL WEEK 3 OL/DL: Betting, Props & Fantasy Cheat Sheet
      • LISTEN: NFL Week 3 Betting Preview, Picks & Predictions
      • Chris Dell's Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings: The Top 200
      • The Betting Predators' NFL Week 3 Power Ratings
      • CLE's College Football Week 4 Power Ratings: How far does Tennessee tumble?
      • CLE's College Football Week 4 Over/Under Best Bet: Will ACC heavyweights put up points?
      • WATCH: Who takes top-10 tilt in Ohio State vs. Notre Dame?
      • Mackenzie Rivers' Week 2 Primetime Best Bet: Over or under on SNF?
      • LISTEN: NFL Week 2 Player Props with Sleepy & Chris Dell
    • PREMIUM 
      • NFL PREMIUM BETS TRACKER (2023)
      • NFL PREMIUM BETS PACKAGE (2023)
    • STRATEGY 
      • FREE: NFL BETTING PREVIEW BOOK (2023)
      • NFL Team Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter (2023)
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data & Putting Stats
      • Hunting The UFC: Mixed Martial Arts Betting Strategy 101
      • Chris Dell's FIFA Soccer Betting Preview: Colombia vs. Germany
    • ABOUT 
      • Free Podcasts
      • The Team
PREMIUM PICKS
broken image

Steve Rieder's NFL Betting Card Review: Week 14 Immediate Takeaways & Insights

Steve Rieder takes a look back at his best bets for NFL Week 14, on what worked and what didn't:

· NFL,Steve Rieder

Our NFL Premium Package is Now Available for the 2022 season! Get full access to our best bets, given out early in the week, in real time: sides, totals, player props, and more, all in one place, through the end of the Super Bowl.

WEEK 14 BETTING REVIEW

After starting off a blistering 5-0, I thought were in line for a sweep. However, Tua and company let us down mightily. Losing nearly 5 units on one game was painful and probably is a good reminder not to overexpose yourself on a team if the plays are correlated. Regardless, it was a good week. Let’s get to it.  

WEEK 14 BEST BETS: 5-2 (+4.8u)

SEASON LONG: 60-61 (-0.55u)

MIN/DET O51  (Win)

DET +8.5/KC -2.5 (WIN)

This total went as high as 54 earlier in the week before getting pounded back down to 52 at kickoff. I thought we were drawing dead at the end of the half when the Vikings fumbled on their 3 and and the Lions missed a field goal. Thankfully, the offensive arms race exploded in the 4th to help us clear our lookahead over. Make no mistake, with nearly 900 yards of total offense, this one should have gone over. 

 

CIN -4  (WIN)

CIN to Score 1st (WIN)

It seemed like we were rewarded for grabbing the Bengals -4 on the opener. However, the line moved as high as CIN -6 before ticking down to 5.5 and then smashed by a syndicate Sunday morning down to as low as -3.5. So much of my handicap was simply a fade of Watson after a horrific performance last week. Although he played better in this one, ultimately the angle came through as the Browns could only post 10 points for the game. Regarding our 1st team to score play, I expected the Bengals to get the ball first. They didn’t. I expected a quick score in the 1st. It was scoreless. Thankfully, the Bengals drive was extended in the 2nd quarter after a roughing the punter penalty, which lead to Ja’Marr Chase touchdown and a cashed ticket. 

 

SF 1st Half -1  (WIN)

I thought there was an overreaction to the Jimmy Garoppolo news and expected Shannahan to put Purdy in a position to be productive. However, I was nervous about Brady’s propensity to bring the Bucs back in the 4th, which is why I pivoted to a first half play. There was no reason to be concerned. There were a lot of surprising games this weekend. I’m not sure anyone expected a 35-7 domination in this one. 

 

MIA ML  (LOSS)

MIA 1st Half Team Total O13.5  (LOSS)

For the 2nd game in a row, the Dolphins’ offense looked pedestrian. I chalked the Week 13 loss to the 49ers stout defense, but the Chargers D is below average. Seeing Tua struggle like he did is concerning. They barely covered their 1st half team total for the game and, frankly, they were never really in it. It was the wrong side and the wrong derivative. It was a disappointing ending to a great week.  

By Steve Rieder

@AvoidTheVig

Want to have direct access to our network of Betting Predators handicappers? Sign up for our FREE Discord channel to get 24/7 direct access to our handicapping team, as well as our community of sharp bettors

Want an easy to find all of our Betting Predators content in one place? Sign up for our free newsletter, Substack and receive a weekly roundup on everything we've published (FREE + PREMIUM), and all that we're up to throughout the week. We promise we'll never give your email address out for advertising purposes.

Subscribe
Previous
Chris Dell's Week 14 Fantasy Rankings
Next
Steve Rieder's NFL Early Power Ratings (Week 15)
 Return to site
Cancel
All Posts
×

Almost done…

We just sent you an email. Please click the link in the email to confirm your subscription!

OK