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Steve Rieder's NFL Free Play Best Bet (Week 9)

Lead NFL handicapper Steve Rieder breaks down one of the best bets from his NFL Premium card:

· Steve Rieder,NFL

Our NFL Premium Package is Now Available for the 2022 season! Get full access to our best bets, given out early in the week, in real time: sides, totals, player props, and more, all in one place, through the end of the Super Bowl.

WEEK 9: Indianapolis Colts +5.5 at New England Patriots (-110) 

It's tough to buck any Belichick lead defense against a young quarterback, let alone a rookie quarterback. Well, that's what we have here when the Elhinger led Colts head to Foxboro to take on the Patriots. Elhinger was as good as could be expected from a quarterback drafted in the 6th round last week. Many anticipated a lot more QB designed runs and less passing in the rookie's first NFL start, but the opposite was true. As a result, the Colts lost and their offensive coordinator was canned. This week I expect the play calling to open up and utilize Elhinger's mobility outside of the pocket. We just saw Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears have success two weeks ago with a similar game plan against this same Patriots defense. The truth is, the Patriots and Mac Jones, in particular, have left a lot to be desired this season. This is not the same Belichick led Patriots team we've grown accustomed to in recent years. I make the game Patriots -2.25, which makes this -5.5 nonsensical.

By Steve Rieder

@AvoidTheVig

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