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Steve Rieder's Week 15 Lookahead Lines

Steve Rieder dives into NFL Week 15's schedule to find his favorite lookahead line bet:

· NFL,Steve Rieder

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LOOKAHEAD FORECAST HISTORY: 8-2

 

Week 4: SF -1. The game closed SF -2 and the 49ers won 24-9.  (WIN)

Week 5: MIN -6.5. The game closed 8.5 and the Vikings won 29-22 .  (WIN)

Week 6: PHI -5.5. The game closed 7 and the Eagles won by 26-17.  (WIN)

Week 7: KC -1.5. The game closed -1 and the Chiefs won 44-23. (WIN)

Week 8: NYG/SEA OVER 43: The game closed 44.5.  Final Score: 27-13.  (LOSS)

Week 9: LAC/ATL O47.5. The game closed 49.5.  Final Score: 20-17.  (LOSS)

Week 10: SF -3.5. The game closed SF -7.5.  Final Score: 22-16. (WIN)

Week 11: BUF -7. The game closed -8.  Final Score: 31-23 (WIN)

Week 12: PHI -6.5. The game closed -7.  Final Score: 40-33 (WIN)

Week 13: MIN -3. The game closed -3.  Final Score: 27-22 (WIN)

Week 14: MIN/DET O51: Current Line: 52 (Pending)

WEEK 15 LOOKAHEAD BEST BET: NYG +4 

Let’s state the obvious. The Giants aren’t as good as their record suggests. They blew a fourth quarter lead that would have put them in great position in the playoff race. The Commanders are currently on a bye feverishly studying the game film from their Week 13 tie with the Giants, while the G-Men are busy preparing to face NFC East rival Philadelphia Eagles. It’s certainly a bad spot for the Giants. But I only have the Commanders slightly better on a neutral. Add in that Giants are also close to Washington and familiar with FedEx Field, I’m not sure there is much home field advantage at all. With divisional games tending to be tighter contest, the line is simply too big. The Giants offensive line is getting back to health, which should help slumping Saquon Barkley and their defensive line is suddenly formidable. The Giants have a better statistical offense despite not having any outside threats and their inferior defense keeps them in games with their bend don’t break style. Add in the New York coaching advantage, (yes I think Daboll is better than Ron Rivera) and I think the Giants keep it within the number and are in a position to win outright in a game reminiscent of last week.  

By Steve Rieder

@AvoidTheVig

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