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LOOKAHEAD FORECAST HISTORY: 10-2
Week 4: SF -1. The game closed SF -2 and the 49ers won 24-9. (WIN)
Week 5: MIN -6.5. The game closed 8.5 and the Vikings won 29-22 . (WIN)
Week 6: PHI -5.5. The game closed 7 and the Eagles won by 26-17. (WIN)
Week 7: KC -1.5. The game closed -1 and the Chiefs won 44-23. (WIN)
Week 8: NYG/SEA OVER 43: The game closed 44.5. Final Score: 27-13. (LOSS)
Week 9: LAC/ATL O47.5. The game closed 49.5. Final Score: 20-17. (LOSS)
Week 10: SF -3.5. The game closed SF -7.5. Final Score: 22-16. (WIN)
Week 11: BUF -7. The game closed -8. Final Score: 31-23. (WIN)
Week 12: PHI -6.5. The game closed -7. Final Score: 40-33. (WIN)
Week 13: MIN -3. The game closed -3. Final Score: 27-22. (WIN)
Week 14: MIN/DET O51: The game closed 52. Final Score: 23-34. (WIN)
Week 15: NYG +4. The game closed +4. Final Score: 20-12. (WIN)
Week 16: JAX +8/TEN -2.5. (PENDING)
WEEK 17 LOOKAHEAD BEST BET: LAC -2.5 / CIN +7.5
Starting the season 10-2 on my lookahead with the front leg of our Week 16 in the bag, we look to Week 17 for another actionable opportunity. Teasers aren’t sexy, but this one in particular is +EV. The Chargers are a great first leg because they have everything to play for and their opponent, the Rams, have literally nothing to play for. Mayfield has injected some life into this Los Angeles team, but they are still not very good and they have just shut down Aaron Donald for the rest of the season. The Chargers are vying for the playoffs and the Rams are yearning for the offseason. For the second leg, we pivot to Cincinnati, who I have rated slightly lower than Buffalo, but with home-field advantage we should be laying points. Getting the 1.5 allows us to catch over a TD at home, which makes this one a no-brainer.
By Steve Rieder
@AvoidTheVig
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