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Steve Rieder's Week 4 NFL Power Ratings & Opening Line Market Report

Steve Rieder provides his Week 4 power ratings for all 32 NFL teams: 

· NFL,Steve Rieder

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Steve Rieder has accumulated a 195-148-1 record, +30.96 units over the course of the 2021 & 2022 NFL seasons combined

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By Steve Rieder

@AvoidTheVig

With NFL Week 3 officially in the books, we adjust our power ratings and look forward to a new slate of games for NFL Week 4. As with every week, to determine a power-rated line, take the difference between the teams' power rating and factor in home field advantage. Remember, power ratings are the start of the handicap and should be a foundation to build upon. These values represent what a team is on any given week. It will certainly fluctuate as the year progresses.

Week 4 Power Ratings

BIGGEST UPGRADE: 

I moved Jacksonville up 1.75 points this week which is a huge upgrade considering there was no one notable returning from injury. The Jags beat the Chargers handedly. Much of that can and should be chalked up to the Chargers' injury concerns, but Jacksonville won by four touchdowns in a game they were catching a field goal. I think I was too low on the Jaguars to begin with. No sense living on past mistakes.

BIGGEST DOWNGRADE:

The Patriots had the biggest adjustment this week moving four points down. Although they were downgraded off of a two-score loss, this number also represents the downgrade from Mac Jones.

SOMETHING OF NOTE: 

I didn't adjust Chicago or the Texans because the game played out exactly as expected. These are two even teams and they are both terrible. They started the game at the bottom of my power rankings and they will start next week in the same spot.

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Week 4 Power Ratings vs. Lines

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