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Editor's Note: Steve Rieder has accumulated a 205-166-1 record, +22.06 units over the course of the 2021 & 2022 NFL seasons. Get access to his full record, pick by pick, on our NFL bets tracker spreadsheet
STEVE RIEDER'S NFL LOOKAHEAD FORECAST HISTORY:
Week 4 Lookahead Forecast: SF -1. Closed SF -2, but the 49ers won going away by a score of 24-9. (WON)
Week 5 Lookahead Forecast: MIN -6.5. With the market currently painted -7.5, we got ahead of the move and are sitting on a +EV play. (WON)
Week 6 Lookahead Forecast: PHI -5.5. With the market at -6.5, we find some value, but because of the Eagles struggles in last weeks win, coupled with their offensive line injuries and the Cowboys dominance, we only had a point of CLV as Philly failed to cover the spread and won by just three points. (LOST)
Week 7 Lookahead Forecast: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 vs. San Francisco 49ers
For the first time all season, I don’t have much action in the lookahead market. The one game I have targeted is KC -1.5 and even that I’m not sure betting it now is the best idea. SF is 4-0 in games they stay out east in consecutive weeks and 0-4 when they return. I fully expect the 49ers to win handedly today, which could make this line even less tonight when it reopens. Most of this play is simply based on the trend, but I trust Mahomes and company to find ways to score. I’m less confident in Jimmy G to be successful if the run game isn’t firing. In general, I typically look to play against teams returning home from road trips, but this one in particular seems very enticing. I bet some KC now and I’m sure I’ll be reinvesting at the openers later tonight.
By Steve Rieder
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