Editor’s Note: Each of the following prop bets below were submitted in the past 24 hours and checked for the latest, best and most up-to-date lines across numerous sportsbooks. It’s possible that some of the lines have still moved since then, however, and although we try our best to give the top options and sportsbook odds available for each pick, we can't always guarantee a certain number will be available at the time of you reading this article. Below you will find a compilation of our Super Bowl LVII best bets via game props, player props, head to head wagers, and all types of picks, from our Betting Predators team and our extended network of friends and handicappers. This 2023 star-studded guest list includes, but is not limited to: "The Hitman," "Uncle Dave" Essler, Sleepy J, Chris Dell, Steve Rieder, and J-Smoove, among other professional bettors. We also want to give special thank you to special guest features below from our friends at ESPN 97.5, Pregame.com, The Gaming Society, Last Word On Sports, Gallery Sports and more! Our goal with this free prop-a-palooza article is to gather the best bets from some of the sharpest minds across the sports betting industry. Our main goal is simple: work together to hunt down the best Super Bowl LVII bets, FOR YOU. Any questions? As always, email us at firstname.lastname@example.org
“The Hitman” (@Hitman428): Patrick Mahomes OVER 290.5 passing yards @ PointsBet -115
Featured guest handicapper from Pregame.com
The Eagles’ defensive metrics YTD look very good, but when facing offenses ranked in the top half of the league, they are allowing 30.2 PPG. I expect Patrick Mahomes to be close to full health, and we are getting value on his number in comparison to his prop lines later in the season because of health and matchup concerns that I don’t fully buy.
Mackenzie Rivers (@MackenRivers): Chiefs to have more sacks than Eagles @ DraftKings +100
Featured guest handicapper from Pregame.com
All the talk entering Super Bowl LVII has been about the Philadelphia Eagles' dominant, historic defensive line. So it makes sense that they are favored to have more sacks, right? Wrong! Year after year, more data shows that quarterback sacks are much more a QB stat than it is a defensive line stat. QB's like Mahomes simply anticipate too quickly to take unnecessary sacks, regardless of the opponent's defensive line. The Eagles have allowed 2.4 sacks per game, including 10 in their last 4 games (3 of those with Jalen Hurts) while Kansas City, on the other hand, has allowed 1.5 sacks per game and only 5 in their last 4 games.
Monotone Football (@MonotoneFootbal): Kadarius Toney OVER 25.5 receiving yards @ PointsBet -115
Featured guest handicapper from Vegas Insider & OddsChecker
One of my favorite sports for the Super Bowl has to be Kadarius Toney, and the recent reports of him "running around like crazy" is a positive sign. He’s one of those players that doesn’t have high volume but is one of the most efficient receivers on a per-catch basis, as shown by his 30% TPRR & 2.27 YPRR (including playoffs). He also greatly benefits from the injuries in the WR room, and the lack of elite target competition. His short yardage/gadget usage will be key in defeating a strong Philadelphia secondary.
Patrick Creighton (@PCreighton1): Isiah Pacheco to have 50+ rush yards @ BetRivers +108
Featured guest handicapper from ESPN 97.5
The Eagles, even in games they win big, still, give it up on the ground. Their last 5 games:
Week 16 vs Dallas -allowed 115 rush yds, 55 to Zeke Elliott
Week 17 vs NO-allowed 129 rush yds, 73 to Alvin Kamara
Week 18 vs NYG-allowed 129 rush yds, 60 to Gary Brightwell
NFC Div vs NYG -allowed 118 rush yds, 61 to Saquon Barkley on just 9 carries
NFC Champ Game vs SF -Christian McCaffrey had 15 carries for 84 yards
The standard prop here is Pacheco, anywhere from 46.5 to 48.5, so there's tremendous value in going up a yard or two to get to the plus money, rather than paying a tax on betting a number just five yards lower.
Chris Dell (@MaddJournalist): Isiah Pacheco longest reception vs. Jerick McKinnon @ MGM -105
Betting Predators Co-Founder & ESPN 97.5 sports handicapper
Pacheco should be the favorite here, plain and simple. In the AFC Championship game vs. the Bengals, in the highest leverage spot of the season for the Chiefs, they gave the keys of the backfield to the rookie, and he passed his first test as a workhorse back with flying colors. Pacheco ran a career-high 26 pass routes in that game, to go along with career highs in target (6), receptions (5), and receiving yards (59). McKinnon, on the other hand, ran less than 20 routes for the fifth straight game after spending most of the season hovering in the 25-30 range, which is quite the notable role demotion here. Pacheco is averaging more than 2 yards per reception higher than McKinnon, and what also gives us an extra boost here is that when on the field, the Eagles know McKinnon’s limited role and skillset. Pacheco is not only a threat to run but also a threat with the ball in his hands off short passes. McKinnon, on the other hand, hasn’t had double-digit carries for 13 weeks counting, and when he’s on the field, the Eagles will know how to defend/prepare for him. Pacheco has more juice, has the larger role, and has much more tread left on the tires. It’s extremely difficult to find a valid reason why McKinnon is the favorite on this prop at -125, other than a stubborn public narrative of him being a career-long receiving back. I’d personally line this closer to around Pacheco -140 as the favorite here, as KC needs all the juice it can get to win SBLVII.
Drue Crookston (@drueschaefer): Chiefs to have the longest gross punt of the game @ DraftKings -175
Featured guest handicapper from The West Coast Gamblers
Gotta lay some juice here, but I still see plenty of value with this special teams prop. Tommy Townsend ranked 2nd in NFL with a 50.4 yards per punt and the Eagles have injury concerns as they just activated Arryn Siposs from IR who averaged 45.6 yards per punt, good 26th in the league. Siposs has not eclipsed a long of over 60 all year, while Townsend has hit this number 8x this year, including 3 out of the last 4.
Steve Rieder (@AvoidTheVig): Kadarius Toney OVER 2.5 receptions @ FanDuel -132
Bettting Predators Co-Founder & Lead NFL Handicapper
With positive health reports coming out of camp. I expect Toney to be the beneficiary with Hardman on the IR. Andy Reid, who traditionally is successful off a bye, will empty his bag for the Super Bowl. Toney is a swiss-army knife receiver, and his ability to lineup all over the field allows him to avoid Philly's outside corners, the strength of their secondary. With the expectation that KC will lean on the short, quick passing game to mitigate the Eagles' pass rush and minimize Mahomes ankle concerns, there may not be a better KC playmaker who can take a small gain and make it a big one. It'll be a "hold your breath" bet because of Toney's propensity to get injured, but if he plays the entire game, he will clear this number with ease.
Greg Frank (@G_Frank6): Isiah Pacheco UNDER 46.5 rushing yards @ FanDuel -110
Betting Predators NFL Analyst
Let's start with the basics and work our way to some of the specifics on this one. Even with an abundance of injury questions to their wide receiver room, are the Chiefs really about to take the ball out of Patrick Mahomes' hands? The star quarterback threw the ball 43 times in the AFC Championship game compared to a total of 20 Chiefs' rushing attempts versus Cincinnati. That was with Mahomes one week removed from his high-ankle sprain. He'll be three weeks removed from the injury come Sunday. While the injury news seems murky at best for the Chiefs' wide receivers, on Monday, Kansas City activated Clyde Edwards-Helaire from the injured reserve, which at the very least gives him a chance to suit up, and if he can go, it would give KC another mouth to feed in a backfield that doesn't get fed much to begin with.
That brings us to Pacheco. The rookie out of Rutgers has shown flashes at times in his first season, but even when Edwards-Helaire was on the shelf, the Chiefs weren't really making Pacheco a bell cow back. In two playoff games, Pacheco has carried the ball a total of 22 times. Against Cincinnati, he had just 10 carries for 26 yards. While he did hit 95 yards on 12 carries versus Jacksonville, 39 of those yards came on one carry, meaning he had 56 yards on his other 11 rushing attempts. While 11/56 is still a productive stat line for a Kansas City running back, given how little the Chiefs commit to the run in the first place, that kind of game feels like the ceiling for Pacheco. In other words, I think his floor is a lot lower than his ceiling is higher in the Super Bowl. I also expect the game script to be less than conducive for Pacheco, as I believe the Eagles are going to score a lot. They've scored in the 30s in their two playoff games, and Jalen Hurts hasn't even needed to do much. It's likely going to come down to how much the Chiefs can score against an Eagles defense that's been lights out. Between that expected game flow and the pending return of Edwards-Helaire, I don't think there's enough to go around for Pacheco to go over his rushing prop number. I'd ballpark 8-10 carries for 25-40 yards for Pacheco, well under the posted number above.
Jermaine Every (@The_Jermaine): Travis Kelce OVER 9.5 targets @ Caesars -125
Featured guest handicapper from Houston’s SportsMap.com
I like Travis Kelce over on his targets, which you can find at numerous sportsbooks. He's averaging over 12 targets a game this postseason after averaging about nine in the regular season. With Mecole Hardman on IR and both JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney not at 100% health, look for Patrick Mahomes to rely heavily on his all-pro tight end, especially against an Eagles defense which is easier to exploit in the middle of the field. Kelce can be the focal point of Philly's defensive game plan and still obliterate this number.
Brandon "BC" Capelo (@BC_Houston1): Isiah Pacheco OVER 16.5 receiving yards @ FanDuel -110
Featured guest handicapper from Gallery Sports
Philadelphia has the best defensive line in the leaguer and had the most QB sacks in the regular season in the NFL. Simply put: they will be GUNNING for Pat Mahomes here. Every DC has tried (and mostly failed) to take away Mahomes' biggest offensive weapon, 4x All-Pro and one of the greatest tight ends of all time in Travis Kelce. Philly DC Jonathan Gannon will try that as well on Sunday, and he’s been successful so far this postseason in limiting tight ends George Kittle to 32 yards and Daniel Bellinger to 4 yards. With every able and available body keying in on Kelce, I like the the young rookie Isiah Pacheco to be the secondary safety valve to Mahomes when he’s running for his life from Philly rushers. Cincinnati had the same plan to contain Kelce and held him to 78 yards in the AFC championship. Pacheco hauled in 5 catches for 59 yards as the beneficiary. He also brings something to the Chiefs running game they haven’t had since Priest Holmes or maybe Larry Johnson, which is a calculated, fierce runner who also isn’t afraid to put his head down and truck a motherfucker over. He’ll get some design targets or improvised passes from Mahomes, and he will also get plenty of yards after contact because I’m not sure anyone on the Chiefs team is going to be running or trying harder on Sunday than the 251st overall pick from last year’s draft, Isiah Pacheco.
BONUS PROP: Isiah Pacheco OVER 1.5 receptions @ DraftKings -175
As most of you know, the Super Bowl prop market this late/close to the big game has been hammered to a pulp and has little remaining closing line value left. But Super Bowl week betting content is still Super Bowl week betting content, right? All kidding aside here, despite the tax here of -175, I still absolutely adore the rookie Isiah Pacheco to record 2+ catches on Sunday against an Eagles defense ranking bottom 10 in the league in DVOA pass defense against running backs in the receiving game. Pacheco ran a career-high 26 routes in the AFC title game to go along with career-highs in targets, receptions and receiving yards, and he’ll be a much-needed weapon for Patrick Mahomes with Mahomes’ limited mobility in addition to both Kadarius Toney and JuJu Smith-Schuster playing at less than 100%. McKinnon’s under 3.5 reception was beat to a pulp so hard that the books are now hanging 2.5, which is a rarity in the player prop market, but even so, given the role reversal of these two backs, the line is still incorrect. Pacheco will once again likely be the featured back in this pivotal contest, and with one more game of him earning both the coaches' and quarterbacks’ trust, expect him to see more than a few catches here. -Chris Dell