The Betting Predators team delivers you the most actionable NFL Betting analysis, period, with a focus on long-term profitability, as well as sports betting education and transparency through tracking results.
Our 2023 NFL Betting Preview "E-Book" is also now live and FREE to access on our website. We have spent the entire offseason researching, reading articles, listening to podcasts, and ignoring our familial responsibilities to find and filter the best and most important NFL information and best bets you need for this upcoming season. For this edition, we will cover the 2023 betting prospects of the Seattle Seahawks.
As part of our 2023 NFL Betting Preview E-Book series, we will look at the current state of each team in an attempt to identify reasons for optimism and causes for concern and, most importantly, what can be exploited in the current betting marketplace. Make sure to read our Glossary and Analytics keyword primer below, as we release one team betting preview chapter at a time from now through Monday, August 28th.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - REASONS FOR OPTIMISM
Geno Smith was everything Seahawks fans hoped Russell Wilson would be. After finishing 7th in success rate and leading his team to 9 wins (3.5 more than expected), Smith looks to run it back with one of the best WR corps in the NFL featuring DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and 1st-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba. They were not the vaunted Seattle defense of yesteryear, but there are certainly reasons for optimism as Seattle brought in 4 new players via free agency and the draft that should lock in as starters. That doesn’t even include Jamal Adams, who is scheduled to return from injury. In his Seattle Seahawks coaching history, Pete Carroll has never won less than seven games and has gone 8-4-1 to the over, including six years going over by 2+ wins.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - CAUSE FOR CONCERN
The journeyman turned star(ter), Geno Smith, started hot last season but certainly faded as the season progressed and posted a below-zero EPA in his last four games. Seattle started the year off 6-3 but finished 3-5 in their last 8. The Seahawks offense may have finished 13th in EPA and 19th in rushing, but they were dead last in rushing success rate. On defense, the Seahawks were predictably brutal, allowing the highest YAC and finishing 26th in EPA in the entire league. The additions to their defense are a start, but they likely won’t solve all of their problems. Drafting a slot receiver will likely fall short of overcoming the coming Geno Smith regression on offense. They are also unlikely to finish top-10 in injury health on both sides of the ball as they did last year.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - BETTING OPPORTUNITES
I expect some regression from Geno Smith, which seems in line with the market. They have great skill position players on offense that should make him look better than he is, but finding the same success he had last year seems out of reach. Looking at an individual game basis, I don’t find much value in the marketplace. Fading Seattle in both games vs. division rival SF was under consideration, but I didn’t want to back the 49ers on a short week or after playing the Eagles on the east coast and flying back to SEA for the 2nd matchup in 3 weeks. I pivoted to the PHI game in Week 15. If there is anything to Geno fading the 2nd half of the season, we may get extra value.
2023 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BEST BET
Week 15 PHI -2 (Play to -2.5)