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NFL Betting Cheat Sheet: Biggest OL/DL Pass Blocking Mismatches (Week 10)

Ben Martinez breaks down our weekly betting and player props cheat sheet to identify the top OL/DL advantages and disadvantages, for run blocking and pass blocking, across the NFL:

· NFL,Ben Martinez,Cheat Sheet,Chris Dell

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TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES

Titans -25 vs Broncos Pass Rush

Commanders -21.7 at Eagles Pass Rush 

Cowboys -10 at Packers Pass Rush  

Tennessee Titans -25 vs Denver Broncos 

 

The Titans enter week 10 with the worst pass blocking offensive line this week. Ranked dead last by our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet, Tennessee will attempt to protect their quarterback against the third highest ranked defensive front seven according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus also ranks the Titans 32rd at pass blocking. Both offensive tackles grade at the bottom of their position. Dennis Daley is 73ed of 74 tackles and Nicholas Petit-Frere is 70th of 74. Both these tackles will attempt to stop Denver edge rusher Baron Browning who grades 14th at pass rush(be aware Browning is DNP Wed/Thur). The Broncos rank seventh at pass rush per Pro Football Focus, fifth per Football Outsiders, and third at pass rush win rate per ESPN. Defensive tackle Dre'Mont Jones ranks seventh per ESPN's pass rush win rate metric. Please note that this is also the first game the Broncos will play without Bradley Chubb who was traded to the Dolphins November 1st. Chubb is third in ESPN pass rush win rate and grades 22nd out of 115 edge rushers per Pro Football Focus.

 

Key Injuries

  • DEN- DL Baron Browning 

Washington Commanders -21.7 at Philadelphia Eagles 

The Commanders are tied for the third worst pass blocking offensive lines for week 10. Even with tackle Charles Leno Jr who grades fifth at pass blocking at his position per PFF and guard Andrew Norwell who ranks 10th at pass block win rate per ESPN, Washington finds themselves at the bottom of our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. The Commanders pass blocking is ranked 28th by ESPN, Football Outsiders 26th, and Pro Football Focus 23rd.

Philadelphia ranks fourth across the board. ESPN, FO, and PFF all have the Eagles pass rush ranked the same. The Eagles also have a league high three of their front seven in either the defensive tackle pass rush win rate or the DE/LB pass rush win rate. Javon Hargraves ranks fourth at DT PRWR, Josh Sweat ranks fifth and Haason Reddick ranks seventh at DE/LB PRWR. Add in linebacker T.J. Edwards who grades 3rd out of 59 other linebackers at pass rushing and edge rushers Brandon Graham who ranks eighth out of 115 other edge rushers you can see how the Eagles are one of the highest rated front seven in the NFL. 

TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES

Saints Pass Blocking +12.7 at Steelers

Steelers Pass Blocking +10.3 vs Saints

Bears Pass Blocking +10.3 at Lions

New Orleans Saints +12.7 at Pittsburgh Steelers 

Pittsburgh Steelers+10.3 vs New Orleans Saints

 

This could be the last week the Steelers will be ranked this low at pass rush w T.J. Watt right around the corner, possibly playing this week. The Steelers need a jolt of energy injected into their system to try and save their season. The Steelers ranked third worst in our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet this week. Pro Football Focus has them ranked the lowest at 29th with Football Outsiders the highest at 22nd.

The Saints offensive line is ranked all over the place. New Orleans is ranked 21st at pass blocking per PFF and other than both tackles Ryan Ramczyk who ranks 19th out of 74 at pass blocking and tackle James Hurst who ranks 10th out of 74 at pass blocking no other Saint linemen is graded above average. Football Outsiders ranks the Saints 11th and ESPN pass block win rate ranks New Orleans ninth, with center Erik McCoy ranked fourth at pass block win rate(be aware center Erik McCoy DNP Wed/Thur).

 

The Saints defensive rankings are all over the place according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. ESPN has New Orleans ranked a low 31st at pass rush win rate, while Football Outsiders ranks the Saints 17th, and Pro Football Focus has the Saints 19th. New Orleans has the second best pass rushing linebacker in Demario Davis who is graded second out of 59.

The Steelers offensive line is nothing all that great either. ESPN has the Steelers pass block win rate ranked 11th, while Football Outsiders has them one spot lower at 12, and PFF has Pittsburgh 15th. Pro Football Focus also grades Steeler guard James Daniel's eight out of 77 for pass blocking.

 

Key Injuries

  • PIT- LB Myles Jack DNP
  • NO- G Andrus Peat
  • NO- C Erik McCoy
  • NO- LB Pete Werner

By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell

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