BETTING PREDATORS
  • Home
  • Tools 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
    • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
    • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
  • Premium 
    • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
    • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
  • Strategy 
    • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
    • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
    • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
    • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
  • About 
    • Free Podcasts
    • Mission
    • Team
  • …  
    • Home
    • Tools 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
      • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
      • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
    • Premium 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • Strategy 
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
      • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
    • About 
      • Free Podcasts
      • Mission
      • Team
  •  
  • PREMIUM PICKS
    BETTING PREDATORS
    • Home
    • Tools 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
      • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
      • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
    • Premium 
      • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
      • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
    • Strategy 
      • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
      • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
      • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
      • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
    • About 
      • Free Podcasts
      • Mission
      • Team
    • …  
      • Home
      • Tools 
        • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
        • Join our FREE betting community on Discord
        • Subscribe to our FREE weekly betting newsletter on Substack
        • NFL Beat Reporters to Follow on Twitter for all 32 Teams
      • Premium 
        • NFL PREMIUM BEST BETS RECORD TRACKER (2021-2023)
        • NEW: NFL Draft Best Bets Premium Package 2023
        • NEW: NFL "Early Bird" Best Bets Premium Package 2023
        • NEW: PGA Tour/Golf Best Bets Premium Package 2023
        • NEW: NBA Player Props & Best Bets Premium Package 2023
      • Strategy 
        • How to win at sports betting: A guide to sustained profitability
        • Hunting The NBA - Using Status Updates For Prop Bets
        • Hunting The NCAA - Sleepy's March Madness Wagering Tips
        • How To Bet Golf Using Strokes Gained Data (PGA)
      • About 
        • Free Podcasts
        • Mission
        • Team
  •  
  • PREMIUM PICKS

    Steve Rieder's Week 10 NFL Power Ratings: Biggest Upgrades & Downgrades

    Steve Rieder provides his Week 10 power ratings and opening lines for all 32 NFL teams:

    · NFL,Steve Rieder

    Our NFL Premium Package is Now Available for the 2022 season! Get full access to our best bets, given out early in the week, in real time: sides, totals, player props, and more, all in one place, through the end of the Super Bowl.

    With NFL Week 9 officially in the books, we adjust our power ratings and look forward to a new slate of games for NFL Week 10. As with every week, to determine a power-rated line, take the difference between the teams' power rating and factor in home field advantage. Remember, power ratings are the start of the handicap and should be a foundation to build upon. These values represent what a team is on any given week. It will certainly fluctuate as the year progresses.

    Week 9 was a real let down for the top teams in the NFL. All 3 of the top NFL teams failed to cover this week and the best, the Bills, lost outright. Further proof that the market over-values the league's best.  

    Biggest Upgrade: Seattle Seahawks

    Every time I think I have upgraded the birds enough, their on-field performance says otherwise. On a week to week basis, I think I’m evaluating them in the proper manner. The crux of their power rating comes in their preseason expectations. This was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. Saying they are not might be an insult at this point. I have officially upgraded them to above average, which still seems a bit curious. I’d rather be cautious with their upgrade rather than overcorrect. I still think the Seahawks are a team we want to back moving forward.

    Biggest Downgrade: Los Angeles Rams

    The Rams should have won the game and may have even over performed expectations. How could I move them down this much? This downgrade is about much more than this game. Losing a heartbreaker, falling to 3-5, with a bunch of aging veterans off a Super Bowl victory, the Rams cumulative effect could have disastrous consequences. Do they have another all-in effort in them? Possibly. But if they lose their next game, I wouldn’t be shocked if some of these near retirement player start looking forward and their aging quarterback with an elbow injury might start making business decisions.  

    Biggest Takeaway:  

    This could easily have been the Seahawks continuing to outperform expectations. I’ll make this about the Bills. They were, still are, the best team, but lost to a division rival with significantly less talent. The adage, any given Sunday, certainly applies here, but I think this provides a more valuable lesson. With all 3 of the best teams losing this week ATS, no matter how good these teams are, they still can slip up. Taking any 3 of these teams to win the Super Bowl at market, is a -EV play. Certainly they have the best chance to win out of any team, but these prices are short changing you significantly, which is why I rarely bet the favorites in season in the futures market unless I am fading them.   

    Week 10 Power Ratings

    Week 10 Power Ratings vs. Lines

    By Steve Rieder

    @AvoidTheVig

    Want to have direct access to our network of Betting Predators handicappers? Sign up for our FREE Discord channel to get 24/7 direct access to our handicapping team, as well as our community of sharp bettors

    Want an easy to find all of our Betting Predators content in one place? Sign up for our free newsletter, Substack and receive a weekly roundup on everything we've published (FREE + PREMIUM), and all that we're up to throughout the week. We promise we'll never give your email address out for advertising purposes.

    Subscribe
    Previous
    Steve Rieder's NFL Betting Card Review: Week 9 Immediate...
    Next
    Greg Frank's Four Situational Spots To Know Before...
     Return to site
    Cancel
    All Posts
    ×

    Almost done…

    We just sent you an email. Please click the link in the email to confirm your subscription!

    OK

      Home
      Subscribe
      Articles
      Contact