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TOP PASS RUSH ADVANTAGES
Colts -28.3 atCowboys Pass Rush
Titans -24.3 at Eagles Pass Rush
Bengals -18.3 vs Chiefs Pass Rush
Indianapolis Colts -28.3 at Dallas Cowboys
Everyone watched this past Monday night as quarterback Matt Ryan was sacked three times, fumbled twice, was hit five times, and under pressure 10 times against a barely above average pass rush. Now the Colts face the #1 pass rush in the NFL according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus and Football Outsiders both have Dallas #1 at rushing the passer. PFF grades Micah Parsons as the number two graded edge rusher in the NFL. ESPN ranks the Cowboy's third overall at pass rush win rate and ranks Micah Parsons as the fourth at PRWR.
The Colts pass protection ranks the worst this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus is more generous than the other two ranks. PFF graded Indianapolis 28th overall with guard Quenton Nelson grading ninth overall at pass blocking. Tackle Braden Smith has the next best grade at 19 but his status is unknown still if he will play this week. Both Football Outsiders and ESPN rank the Colts 31st at their respective ranks. ESPN has center Ryan Kelly ranked eighth at pass block win rate but PFF grades Kelly as an average pass blocker.
Tennessee Titans -24.3 at Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles enter week 13 the second best pass rushing unit according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. The Eagles have made some amazing signings to bolster their front seven for the playoffs. Ndamukong Suh and Linval Jordan won't have a PFF grade or rank in the ESPN pass rush win rate lists but Tennessee will have no time to rest with this top tier defensive line coming at them all game long. PFF grades the Eagles pass rush second overall, led by defensive tackle Javon Hargrave(who grades 4th at his position) and edge rusher Brandon Graham(10th). Football Outsiders ranks Philadelphia fifth, while ESPN places the Eagles at the top #1 pass rush win rate. Three Eagles made ESPN's list. Josh Sweat is third at PRWR and Haason Reddick sixth at PRWR for edge rushers. Defensive tackle Javon Hargrave is fifth at PRWR.
The Titans offensive line as a pass blocking unit has been on the decline all season. Pro Football Focus ranks Tennessee dead last 32nd overall without a single starting offensive linemen grading in the top 25 at their position. Football Outsiders gives the Titans the highest ranking at 23, while ESPN has Tennessee 26th at pass block win rate. Not a single Titan offensive linemen is in the top ten of ESPN's PBWR at their position.
Cincinnati Bengals -18.3 vs Kansas City Chiefs
Bengals pass block 24th PFF, 22nd FO, 30th ESPN
Chiefs pass rush 5th PFF, 18th FO, 26th ESPN
TOP PASS BLOCKING ADVANTAGES
Packers Pass Blocking +20.7 at Bears
Steelers Pass Blocking +17.3 at Falcons
Chiefs Pass Blocking +16.7 vs Bengals
Raiders Pass Blocking +15.7 at Chargers
Jaguars Pass Blocking +15 at Lions
Green Bay Packers +20.7 at Chicago Bears
Whether it's Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love the Packers quarterback will have the second best pass protection this week according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus grades the Packers fourth overall at pass blocking with three of the five starting offensive linemen graded seven or higher at their position. Tackle David Bakhtiari(7th), center Josh Myers(4th), and guard Jon Runyan(7th) with the other tackle Yosh Nijman(20th). Both Football Outsiders and ESPN rank the Packers sixth at their respective rankings. ESPN has tackle David Bakhtiari ranked fourth at pass block win rate at his position.
The Bears have one of the worst pass rushes in the NFL. Pro Football Focus ranks Chicago’s pass rush dead last, 32nd. Not a single player in Chicago’s front seven grades above average at pass rushing. ESPN is extremely generous, ranking the Bears 18th at pass rush win rate but Football Outsiders knocks Chicago back down to 28th.
Pittsburgh Steelers +17.3 at Atlanta Falcons
The Steelers don't have an amazing offensive line. They rank slightly above average this week against a Falcons pass rush that tied for last with the Lions according to our NFL Betting/Props Cheat Sheet. Pro Football Focus grades the Steelers 11th overall with the strength of their offensive line being the two guards who rank in the top 20 at pass blocking, Kevin Dotson(14) and James Daniels(20th). Football Outsiders ranks the Steelers pass protection the lowest at 17 overall, while ESPN is the highest at eighth with guard James Daniel's ranking ninth at pass rush win rate.
Pro Football Focus and Football Outsiders both grade/rank the Falcons 31st at pass defense. Defensive tackle Grady Jarrett is the lone bright spot for Atlanta's front seven grading 11th at pass rush. ESPN has Atlanta ranked 26th at pass rush win rate but doesn't have a single Falcon in the top 10 of either PRWR list.
Kansas City Chiefs +16.7 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Chiefs pass block 11th PFF, 3rd FO, 1st ESPN
Bengals pass rush 14th PFF, 30th FO, 21st ESPN
Las Vegas Raiders +15.7 at Los Angeles Chargers
Raiders pass block 8th PFF, 11th FO, 11th ESPN
Chargers pass rush 26th PFF, 21st FO, 30th ESPN
Jacksonville Jaguars +15 at Detroit Lions
Jaguars pass block 6th PFF, 8th FO, 29th ESPN
Bengals pass rush 29th PFF, 27th FO, 32nd ESPN
By Ben Martinez & Chris Dell
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