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With NFL Week 17 officially in the books, we adjust our power ratings and look forward to a new slate of games for NFL Week 18. As with every week, to determine a power-rated line, take the difference between the teams' power rating and factor in home field advantage. Remember, power ratings are the start of the handicap and should be a foundation to build upon. These values represent what a team is on any given week. It will certainly fluctuate as the year progresses.
BIGGEST UPGRADE: NYG and GB
Both of these teams moved up 1.25 points in my power ratings, which is a substantial increase this time of year. With Green Bay fighting for the playoffs, they have really showed up and seem to be clicking on offense more as the season has progressed and getting healthier on defense. In the Giants, this is a team that has a better record than their record suggest, but they are starting to make me a believer. I’ve said week after week though, their sum is better than their parts. Still, I make them a below average team. With that said, if they play the Vikings in the opening round of the playoffs, I’ll be on the G-Men for sure.
BIGGEST DOWNGRADE: MIA
With Tua concussed multiple times this season and Bridgewater hurt, I am clearly not a believer in Skyler Thompson. This downgrade isn’t just a result of the quarterback quandary. I’m equally concerned that the Dolphins are just completely defeated. After a virtual lock to be in the playoffs at 8-3, they have lost 5 straight and are on the outside looking in. Under the circumstances, this team has to turn their attention to next year. They have the talent in the coaching staff and the players to make a serious run, but they have been bedeviled by injuries. I am not sure they are willing to admit, nor should they, but their season is over.
SOMETHING OF NOTE: CIN and BUF
Last night’s game was one of the most excruciating moments I’ve ever watched. I can’t imagine how difficult it was for the players, coaches, etc. to be on the field witnessing the event to one of their players and friends. My heart, thoughts, and prayers goes out to everyone involved and certainly to Damar Hamlin and his family. In regards to power ratings, I’m not sure how either of these teams will be able to focus moving forward. Despite not playing the game, I dropped both teams by a half a point and I’m not sure it is even enough.
Week 18 Power Ratings
Week 18 Power Ratings vs. Lines
By Steve Rieder
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